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Author Topic: Design your own map of the United States  (Read 4018 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderator
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*****
Posts: 11,725


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: September 13, 2016, 06:58:54 PM »

I decided to try to create a Republican gerrymander for the country using real state lines and dividing us into 7 roughly even regions.  The smallest is New Texas, which carries 59 EV, but will probably grow, and the largest is The Great Northeast, with 92 EV, but which will likely decline in size.  The result is two solidly Democratic states and five Republican-leaning states.



NOTE: All percentages are calculated using two-party vote share only.

THE GREAT NORTHEAST (Light Red, 92 EV)Sad
Capital: New York City
Obama: 12,874,496, 62.2%
Romney: 7,822,035, 37.8%
PVI: D+10

THE SOUTH ATLANTIC (Dark Blue, 91 EV)Sad
Capital: Atlanta
Romney: 12,662,622, 51.7%
Obama: 11,823,431, 48.3%
PVI: R+4

THE OHIO VALLEY (Light Green, 73 EV)Sad
Capital: Cincinnati
Romney: 9,729,585, 52.4%
Obama: 8,849,219, 47.6%
PVI: R+4

THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY (Medium Green, 62 EV)Sad
Capital: St. Louis
Romney: 7,551,659, 50.9%
Obama: 7,273,077, 49.1%
PVI: R+3

GREATER TEXAS (Light Blue, 59 EV)Sad
Capital: Dallas
Romney: 7,002,199, 56.1%
Obama: 5,490,107, 43.9%
PVI: R+8
Adding any neighboring states would only make this state more Republican, and it's important to save them for other states.  It could do without Oklahoma as well, but I didn't want to make it any smaller.

LAKES, PLAINS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERT (Dark Green, 81 EV)Sad
Capital: Boise
Romney: 9,179,582, 51.3%
Obama: 8,718,638, 48.7%
PVI: R+3

ECOTOPIA (Dark Red, 78 EV)
Capital: San Francisco
Obama: 10,886,827, 60.8%
Romney: 7,005,518

Barring a Democratic landslide, Republicans should win 368-170.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,725


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2016, 05:48:04 PM »

I decided to try to create a Republican gerrymander for the country using real state lines and dividing us into 7 roughly even regions.  The smallest is New Texas, which carries 59 EV, but will probably grow, and the largest is The Great Northeast, with 92 EV, but which will likely decline in size.  The result is two solidly Democratic states and five Republican-leaning states.

NOTE: All percentages are calculated using two-party vote share only.

THE GREAT NORTHEAST (Light Red, 92 EV)Sad
Capital: New York City
Obama: 12,874,496, 62.2%
Romney: 7,822,035, 37.8%
PVI: D+10

THE SOUTH ATLANTIC (Dark Blue, 91 EV)Sad
Capital: Atlanta
Romney: 12,662,622, 51.7%
Obama: 11,823,431, 48.3%
PVI: R+4

THE OHIO VALLEY (Light Green, 73 EV)Sad
Capital: Cincinnati
Romney: 9,729,585, 52.4%
Obama: 8,849,219, 47.6%
PVI: R+4

THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY (Medium Green, 62 EV)Sad
Capital: St. Louis
Romney: 7,551,659, 50.9%
Obama: 7,273,077, 49.1%
PVI: R+3

GREATER TEXAS (Light Blue, 59 EV)Sad
Capital: Dallas
Romney: 7,002,199, 56.1%
Obama: 5,490,107, 43.9%
PVI: R+8
Adding any neighboring states would only make this state more Republican, and it's important to save them for other states.  It could do without Oklahoma as well, but I didn't want to make it any smaller.

LAKES, PLAINS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERT (Dark Green, 81 EV)Sad
Capital: Boise
Romney: 9,179,582, 51.3%
Obama: 8,718,638, 48.7%
PVI: R+3

ECOTOPIA (Dark Red, 78 EV)
Capital: San Francisco
Obama: 10,886,827, 60.8%
Romney: 7,005,518

Barring a Democratic landslide, Republicans should win 368-170.

Without doing the actual math it seems likely that Obama would have won everything except Greater Texas in 2008 and I wouldn't exactly call that election a landslide.

I was thinking that McCain would have narrowly carried The Ohio Valley, but Obama won it by a razor-thin margin.  All six states in that are trending Republican relative to the nation as a whole, though, so a Republican would hold it today while losing by a McCain 2008 margin.  But, McCain actually does win the South Atlantic with 50.7% of the two-party vote.  It just trended a lot less relative to the nation as a whole between 2008 and 2012.  Obama probably picks up the other two comfortably in 2008 with his margin.

This gerrymander is incredibly effective until the Democratic victory margin passes about six points, and then it goes downhill really quickly.
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