Predict the margin in Mingo county, WV

[Xing]

Few counties have trended as far right as this one. Gore and Kerry both won it by double digits, but in 2012, Romney won it with about 70% of the vote. Also, this was the one county where Hillary actually came in third in the primary, and it was one of Trump's best counties. How much will Trump win it by?

[Senator-elect Spark]

Few counties have trended as far right as this one. Gore and Kerry both won it by double digits, but in 2012, Romney won it with about 70% of the vote. Also, this was the one county where Hillary actually came in third in the primary, and it was one of Trump's best counties. How much will Trump win it by?

Trump 92%
Clinton 8%

[DINGO Joe]

I'm interested in what turnout will be like.  WV has a historically low participation rate in elections (much smaller Maine and NH cast more votes than WV), it's lost population since 2012 (and of course almost continuously before that).  Conversely, WV recently added automatic voter registration and they seem to believe Trump "digs coal".

AS for the OP, I'll go with 70-24-6

[Tiger front]

About 50 %.

[Devils30]

72-23-5

[ElectionsGuy]

Trump: 74%
Clinton: 21%

[TDAS04]

72-23-5

Something like this.

[Devils30]

I don't expect a huge GOP swing in coal country this time. Maybe a small one. The largest GOP swings will be areas like southern IL, IN, OH...places where Obama was around 35-40% with working class whites and where Dems have room to fall. In coal country, the bottom has already fallen out the past two cycles so there really isn't much more ground to lose.

[JoeyJoeJoe]

Clinton beat Bush 67.5-23.8, so it's really hard to see Dole winning here.  I'll say Clinton 69-Dole 31.

[nclib]

Clinton beat Bush 67.5-23.8, so it's really hard to see Dole winning here.  I'll say Clinton 69-Dole 31.

2016, not 1996. Or is this a joke?

Trump probably wins about 75%.

[Miles]

Trump 73/23/4.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Can Trump crack 80?