NV-Suffolk: Clinton +2

[Gass3268]

Democrats outperform Republicans on election day in competitive races by 5 points on average. Obama out performed in 08 by 6 points and in 12 by 4 points. Reid over performed Angle by 7 points. Berkley over performed Heller by 3 points.

[Gass3268]

Even though this poll is probably underestimates Clinton, it might be an indication (also see Monmouth Indiana poll), that the race have tightened (nationally) a bit. From Clinton up 7-8 pps to 6-7 or probably even 5-6 pps.
But I'l wait for nationall polls from more respectful pollsters such as ABC, Monmouth, SurveyUSA etc...

But that doesn't match the polling from Q in Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia or Marist last week, or even Monmouth's poll this week from Florida.

[Gass3268]

Democrats outperform Republicans on election day in competitive races by 5 points on average. Obama out performed in 08 by 6 points and in 12 by 4 points. Reid over performed Angle by 7 points. Berkley over performed Heller by 3 points.

Most Democratic nominees or just Obama?

I listed 3 different nominees.