Why is Clinton underperforming in Nevada and Iowa? (user search)
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  Why is Clinton underperforming in Nevada and Iowa? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why is Clinton underperforming in Nevada and Iowa?  (Read 3121 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« on: August 18, 2016, 07:24:17 PM »
Nevada ALWAYS undereggs the Dems due to Latino under-polling. I'm not concerned about NV. IA worries me simply because it has a majority of whites being without a college degree and it's a massively white state, so I expect it to be much much closer than the rest of the Midwest.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2016, 10:14:23 PM »
Quote from: Badger on August 18, 2016, 10:11:03 PM
Can we all agree that even with the Latino polling lag in NV plus Hillary very likely winning it in the end, the numbers are still closer than they should be?

IA will definitely trend GOP this year, but unless Trump turns the national numbers to AT LEAST a close race, he ain't taking the state.

Yes. But again, the combination of Latino polling issues and whites without degrees trending R, makes the weakness make sense.
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