Why is Clinton underperforming in Nevada and Iowa? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 07:23:38 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Why is Clinton underperforming in Nevada and Iowa? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Why is Clinton underperforming in Nevada and Iowa?  (Read 3117 times)
Ogre Mage
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,500
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -5.22

P
« on: August 18, 2016, 11:12:17 PM »

At this point, I feel confident that Hillary can/will take Nevada.
But Iowa does worry me.

That is my take as well.  The tendency for Democrats to underpoll in Nevada due to the transitory and large Spanish-speaking Latino population has happened in several cycles now so it is likely happening for Clinton as well.  Clinton defeated both Obama (2008) and Sanders (2016) in Nevada by solid margins, suggesting she has pull in the state.

Iowa is an almost entirely white state and that white population is largely working class.  That puts the demographics right in Trump's wheelhouse.  And Clinton has not shown any real strength in Iowa in her past races here, finishing an embarrassing third in 2008 and edging past Sanders in 2016 by an almost nonexistent margin.

Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 14 queries.