Pew National Poll: Clinton +4

[King]

LV models don't really matter anymore now that Democrats have mastered the art of targeted early and absentee voting. The people will vote.

I would seriously worry about Republican turnout. They tend to vote more on election day and about a third of Trump supporters don't actually like him. Plus, he can't seem break 40 percent in any poll.

It's easier to stay home on election day than with an absentee ballot. Clinton will spend money to make sure all her lazier voters will have mail-ins. Trump has no infrastructure to combat it.

[King]

LV models don't really matter anymore now that Democrats have mastered the art of targeted early and absentee voting. The people will vote.

Have they really?  Why did they not use that in 2014? Does it work only presidential election?

When did they mastered it?  What evidence can you provide?

2008 and 2012? There's a lot of articles on the Obama campaign data and outreach operation that Clinton has now inherited. It's how the Democrats have locked up D+6/7 ID advantages in two straight elections.

For whatever reason, Democrats ran and hid during midterms refusing to attach themselves to the President or using the same kind of electioneering.