Predict the PA Senate race
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  Predict the PA Senate race
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Author Topic: Predict the PA Senate race  (Read 578 times)
Spark
Spark498
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« on: August 18, 2016, 10:23:54 PM »
« edited: August 18, 2016, 10:27:32 PM by Northern Assembly Candidate Spark498 »

PA Senate:

McGinty 50.6%
Toomey 48.4%

McGinty +1.6
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2016, 11:32:54 PM »

It looks like it's going to be quite close. I'll guess McGinty wins 50-49 for now, but I'll probably be changing my prediction quite a bit between now and November.
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Higgs
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« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2016, 11:35:36 AM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2016, 11:37:08 AM »

McGinty is getting pretty close to locking this down.

McGinty 53
Toomey 46
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windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2016, 11:39:05 AM »

Mcginty +5
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2016, 12:13:01 PM »

Toomey wins 50.4-49.6 or something. Very close, even closer than six years ago.
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JMT
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« Reply #6 on: August 22, 2016, 04:03:10 PM »

McGinty wins by 2
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: August 22, 2016, 05:19:01 PM »

McGinty is getting pretty close to locking this down.

McGinty 53
Toomey 46

That looks like a good guess for the presidential race, at least right now, but not the Senate race.

McGinty would win in an election held today. But in November Toomey wins 50-48 or so.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: August 22, 2016, 06:40:46 PM »

McGinty 50/48
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #9 on: August 22, 2016, 06:42:00 PM »

McGinty 50
Toomey 49
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Smash255
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« Reply #10 on: August 22, 2016, 09:55:58 PM »

McGinty by 3 or 4. Toomey runs several points better than Trump, but Trump drags him down in the Philly suburbs (which was already going to be a problem for Toomey) and the margins there are just too much to overcome.
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andrew_c
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« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2016, 04:13:36 AM »

McGinty by 4
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