I wonder if Misty Snow and Mike Weinholtz can win the Senate/gubernatorial race in Utah? Lee and Herbert are pretty vulnerable with Trump at the top of the ticket.
I suspect there will be considerable ticket splitting this year. And Utah is so strongly Republican (and Lee has no love for Trump) that even if Trump struggles, both Lee and Herbert should win easily.
Ticket splitting doesn't happen anymore these days. If Utah is within 5 points, Lee and Herbert are dead men walking. They can't run away from Trump. This strategy didn't work for Democrats in 2010 and 2014 either.
Uh, ND/MT/IN/MO 2012, IL 2014 (Durbin/Rauner), MD 2014 (Dem Rep./Hogan). The evidence exists for a general decline in ticket splitting over the years, but to say it simply doesn't happen anymore is absurd.
