Could Trump win Pennsylvania anymore?
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  Could Trump win Pennsylvania anymore?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Could Trump win Pennsylvania anymore?  (Read 534 times)
Ricky1121
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« on: August 19, 2016, 10:31:07 AM »
Clinton is ahead by 9.2% on RCP's average, and Nate Silver says if the election were today, Clinton has about a 91% chance of winning the state. What happened to our chances there??
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Adam the Gr8
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« Reply #1 on: August 19, 2016, 10:31:57 AM »
Trump happened...
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LLR
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« Reply #2 on: August 19, 2016, 10:35:01 AM »
PA is 1-2 points to the left of the nation. Trump is down 7-8 nationwide, and thus down 9 in PA.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: August 19, 2016, 10:37:09 AM »
Quote from: Ricky1121 on August 19, 2016, 10:31:07 AM
Clinton is ahead by 9.2% on RCP's average, and Nate Silver says if the election were today, Clinton has about a 91% chance of winning the state. What happened to our chances there??

Trump turned off college educated voters (particularly women) in the Philadelphia suburbs. Polls that do breakdowns by regions, show that he's loosing those suburbs by almost 30%. That's countering Trump's modest gains among the white working class elsewhere in the state.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #4 on: August 19, 2016, 10:37:33 AM »
Quote from: Ricky1121 on August 19, 2016, 10:31:07 AM
What happened to our chances there??

Insulting the mother of a war hero, suggesting gun nuts could assassinate POTUS and/or SCOTUS nominees, stating that a Clinton victory in PA would be election fraud and illegitimate... (and that's just in recent weeks).
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #5 on: August 19, 2016, 10:43:36 AM »
For all of the love of the blue collar worker that Trump professes to have, he has turned off college educated voters to an even higher extent.  And Pennsylvania has a substantial population with high level and high quality education.  For instance, Philadelphia alone has five medical schools--more than the states of Arkansas, Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Kansas combined.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: August 19, 2016, 10:56:52 AM »
He needs a massive game changer to win there.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: August 19, 2016, 11:19:52 AM »
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: August 19, 2016, 11:20:59 AM »

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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #9 on: August 19, 2016, 11:54:55 AM »
Sure he can
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: August 19, 2016, 11:58:57 AM »
Pennsylvania was ~D+1 in 2012. Trump's down by a lot nationally, so he's also down by a lot in PA.
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Ljube
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« Reply #11 on: August 19, 2016, 12:14:30 PM »
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