How does Delmarva vote?

[WVdemocrat]

If Delmarva were given statehood (comprising Delaware, Maryland's Eastern Shore, and the Eastern Shore of Virginia) how would it vote in, for example, a presidential election?

[LLR]

Safe D, methinks. I'll try to compute some in a minute, perhaps

[LLR]

The Maryland and Virginia parts of Delmarva are decently Republican, but are overwhelmed by Delaware.

2012 Election Results:

Obama 332,751 (53.9%)
Romney 284,242 (46.1%)

Minus Delaware (Marva?)

Obama 90,204 (43.2%)
Romney 118,766 (56.8%)

[WVdemocrat]

The Maryland and Virginia parts of Delmarva are decently Republican, but are overwhelmed by Delaware.

2012 Election Results:

Obama 332,751 (53.9%)
Romney 284,242 (46.1%)

Minus Delaware (Marva?)

Obama 90,204 (43.2%)
Romney 118,766 (56.8%)

So that would put it in like, Michigan or Minnesota territory? How elastic is Delaware?

I could see Delmarva electing some Republicans in midterm years while in presidential years being likely D.

[LLR]

Well, combining the DE and VA senate races and the MD Governor's race in 2014,

Dem: 168,761 (47.4%)
GOP: 187,351 (52.6%)

Marva

Dem: 38,116 (30%)
GOP: 88,532 (70%)

Now, Hogan was really strong in Eastern Maryland, but this confirms your suspicion.

[muon2]

You don't even need to excise DE to make Delmarva Pub. Just take out Wilmington in New Castle county.

[ElectionsGuy]

Where does it cut off, what counties are we talking about here?

[LLR]

Where does it cut off, what counties are we talking about here?

http://delmarvausa.com/delmarva-peninsula/counties/

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Solidly D in presidential elections, Lean D in other races.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

17:38   TimTurner   Delaware+eastern shore voted for bush in 2004
17:39   TimTurner   By 4k votes
17:41   TimTurner   VA part voted for bush by 2k votes
17:41   TimTurner   Meaning that dubya did win Delmarva in 2004
17:41   TimTurner   By around 6k votes

[Figueira]

To be clear, the Virginia part narrowly voted for Obama in 2012.

[Tartarus Sauce]

It would be swingy if you counted New Castle county, DE as part of the composition of the hypothetical state. Without New Castle county, it would be solid Republican.