SC-Gravis Marketing: Trump+4
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  SC-Gravis Marketing: Trump+4
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Author Topic: SC-Gravis Marketing: Trump+4  (Read 1789 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: August 21, 2016, 09:03:40 AM »

41% Trump
37% Clinton
  7% Johnson
  3% Stein

46% Trump
42% Clinton

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 768 registered voters across South Carolina. The poll was conducted from August 15th to the 17th and has a margin of error of ± 3.5% at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and online responses internet panels of cell phone respondents and weighted by voting patterns.

http://gravismarketing.com/news/current-south-carolina-polling
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politicallefty
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2016, 09:06:44 AM »

Any Trump supporter want to tell me how being up by only 4-points in South Carolina is good news (in a Gravis poll no less)?
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2016, 09:43:28 AM »

41% Trump
37% Clinton
  7% Johnson
  3% Stein

46% Trump
42% Clinton

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 768 registered voters across South Carolina. The poll was conducted from August 15th to the 17th and has a margin of error of ± 3.5% at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and online responses internet panels of cell phone respondents and weighted by voting patterns.

http://gravismarketing.com/news/current-south-carolina-polling

#BattlegroundSouthCarolina
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Doimper
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2016, 10:05:11 AM »

get hyped
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LLR
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2016, 11:02:10 AM »

Nobody can tell me I was wrong about this
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LLR
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« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2016, 12:03:12 PM »

Hmm, seems about right, given where the race stands nationally. If the race tightens, this state will be safe for Trump. (Sorry LLR)

But it's Gravis, so it's more like Trump +1 or 2
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2016, 05:13:37 PM »

This poll actually sounds somewhat reasonable, even coming from Gravis.

This is the second poll in two weeks showing only a narrow Trump lead in SC and as always the Democratic candidate has a relatively high floor and relatively low ceiling....

Again, the only scenario that would involve SC actually flipping would be a Clinton
+10 National win, combined with a significant defection of White voters to 3rd party candidates.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2016, 10:01:38 PM »

I was going to ridicule this poll until I recognized that it causes me to make no changes on my polling thread.
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Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
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« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2016, 10:07:59 PM »

South Carolina has two (2) demographics that push it toward the Democrats:

1.  The growing percentage of African-American voters

2.  The growing percentage of white voters from the North that are a bit more elastic than white Southern voters.

South Carolina has seen a small increase in Hispanic voters as well.

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