NC-Gravis Marketing: Trump+1, Clinton+1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 18, 2024, 10:38:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NC-Gravis Marketing: Trump+1, Clinton+1
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: NC-Gravis Marketing: Trump+1, Clinton+1  (Read 4257 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,172
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 21, 2016, 09:05:29 AM »

39% Trump
38% Clinton
10% Johnson
  2% Stein (not on the ballot)

44% Clinton
43% Trump

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 723 registered voters across North Carolina. The poll was conducted from August 15th through the 17th and has a margin of error of ±3.6% at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls, internet panels of cell phone respondents, and weighted by voting patterns.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-north-carolina-polling-2
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2016, 09:06:22 AM »

Gravis.

Still pretty bad for Clinton compared to recent NC polls.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,200
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2016, 09:06:56 AM »

Of course Gravis polled Stein even though she's not on the ballot.
Logged
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,191
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2016, 09:09:32 AM »

I'm of the opinion that any poll (other than Utah) that has both candidates below 40% isn't worth my time.
Logged
Cruzcrew
Paleocon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 568
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2016, 09:37:11 AM »

Since when did Gravis have undecideds.
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,777
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2016, 09:41:54 AM »

A Gravis tie = several point lead for Clinton
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2016, 09:47:45 AM »

Of course Gravis polled Stein even though she's not on the ballot.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,461
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2016, 10:41:15 AM »

How the hell is Trump tied here but only up 4 in South Carolina?
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2016, 10:44:01 AM »

Oh dear, Gravis. NC only 3-5 points to the left of SC? I think you may have had one too many.
Logged
Simfan34
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 21, 2016, 10:44:13 AM »

Sad to see Stein clutching on to Johnson's coattails like the veritable loser she is, despite not even being on the ballot!
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2016, 10:52:24 AM »
« Edited: August 21, 2016, 10:55:10 AM by LittleBigPlanet »

Oh dear, Gravis. NC only 3-5 points to the left of SC? I think you may have had one too many.
It goes well with 538:s model (it's 6 points difference according to it), so your sarcasm is little bit outdated.

But it is Gravis. Why in the hell did they poll Stein? Huh
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2016, 10:55:00 AM »

if even Sad! Gravis can show Clinton tied or up in a swing state, that's a very good sign.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,584
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 21, 2016, 11:29:46 AM »

The NBC poll in NC is starting to look like an outlier, but apparently internals are having the Republicans freak out.
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,443


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 21, 2016, 11:51:09 AM »

How the hell is Trump tied here but only up 4 in South Carolina?

In the poll SC was 65% white, 29% black, about what you would expect

NC on the other hand....   
79% white, 10% African American,  9% Hispanic

Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 21, 2016, 12:09:54 PM »

A 10% black NC sample?  Gravis is on a bender.
Logged
Vern
vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,140
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 21, 2016, 12:23:31 PM »

Yea this poll is nothing but crap
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 21, 2016, 01:52:08 PM »

Wow, Breitbart's biased in house pollster has a tied race, in a state that is 6 points more Republican than the national average. Sad!
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,536
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 21, 2016, 04:20:47 PM »

Love this poll.  Only 10% black when the state was 23% in 2012. 
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,166
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 21, 2016, 04:25:37 PM »

Love this poll.  Only 10% black when the state was 23% in 2012. 
I wish they had given the crosstabs so we could toy with the demos a bit, but I haven't seen them yet, unfortunately.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,532
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 21, 2016, 04:29:19 PM »

Love this poll.  Only 10% black when the state was 23% in 2012. 

I guess that's what McCrory and co. were hoping with their vote ID laws.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 21, 2016, 04:36:17 PM »

Love this poll.  Only 10% black when the state was 23% in 2012. 
And they polled Stein. What a bunch of idiots! :/
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 21, 2016, 04:37:56 PM »

But they say:
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
But still :/
Logged
Wells
MikeWells12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,069
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 21, 2016, 04:40:25 PM »

lol Gravis

By the way, where's ARG? It was active in the primaries and I don't think this election has enough junk polls.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,410
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 21, 2016, 04:55:13 PM »

Love this poll.  Only 10% black when the state was 23% in 2012. 

This poll does appear to be a bit crap if they are that far off among AA voters, especially in a Southern State.... although it is a B- Pollster with a +1.1% R house effect overall, but still an epic fail on the demographic breakdown of the electorate.

All being said, it does look like the NBC/Marist poll was a bit high for Clinton, and considering that Nate Silver is indicating it does look like a +5-6 Clinton lead nationally, PPPs NC poll is probably closer to the actual current state of the race, and Clinton is likely up about 2-3%.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,837
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 21, 2016, 10:03:20 PM »

I'm of the opinion that any poll (other than Utah) that has both candidates below 40% isn't worth my time.

I am raising the threshold to 43% unless someone is up 5% for treating it as a tie.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 13 queries.