Can Trump win CT?

[Seriously?]

And why or why not?

It's possible, but not likely. I am sure Q will poll its home state at some point.

[Seriously?]

And why or why not?

It's possible, but not likely. I am sure Q will poll its home state at some point.

It is not possible.

Of course it's possible. There is a model for a state-wide win in Connecticut by Republicans.  It's not likely that Trump will execute it.

[Seriously?]

And why or why not?

It's possible, but not likely. I am sure Q will poll its home state at some point.

It is not possible.

Of course it's possible. There is a model for a state-wide win in Connecticut by Republicans.  It's not likely that Trump will execute it.

Republicans haven't won CT since 1988.

I am well aware the last time Republicans won CT. There's a difference between whether there's a path to victory in Connecticut -- which there is -- and none whatsoever.

Do I think Trump has a chance to win Connecticut? Of the three NYC metro states, CT is most likely. Will he win it? Probably not. You can win a state-wide race in CT as a Republican, but you need everything to go the right way, including in Rockefeller Republican-areas of wealth and education, which are not necessarily Trump's wheelhouse.

[Seriously?]

And why or why not?

It's possible, but not likely. I am sure Q will poll its home state at some point.

Roll your eyes at me all you want, but the last Q poll from June had it at -7/-5, which puts CT in "Lean D" territory. A win for Trump in that scenario is possible, but unlikely unless there's a uniform shift towards Trump.

Plus, if you have all of this movement towards Hillary in states like Texas and South Carolina, as you red avatars claim, and the national numbers basically are at Obama 2012 territory, where does the other Trump vote logically come from? The Northeast where there are a lot of blue collar Catholics.

While Connecticut is an unlikely get, it's not an impossible one for the Trump campaign. There's a difference. The question posed by the OP was can Trump win CT, not will he.  Can he win it? Sure in a perfect storm scenario. Will he win it? Probably not.

[Seriously?]

And why or why not?

It's possible, but not likely. I am sure Q will poll its home state at some point.

Roll your eyes at me all you want, but the last Q poll from June had it at -7/-5, which puts CT in "Lean D" territory. A win for Trump in that scenario is possible, but unlikely unless there's a uniform shift towards Trump.

Plus, if you have all of this movement towards Hillary in states like Texas and South Carolina, as you red avatars claim, and the national numbers basically are at Obama 2012 territory, where does the other Trump vote logically come from? The Northeast where there are a lot of blue collar Catholics.

While Connecticut is an unlikely get, it's not an impossible one for the Trump campaign. There's a difference. The question posed by the OP was can Trump win CT, not will he.  Can he win it? Sure in a perfect storm scenario. Will he win it? Probably not.

...You actually think CT is lean D?

I don't think when it comes to ratings like that. I look at data.

The RCP Average is +7.5 (2-way)/+5 (4-way) academically, that makes it lean D.

Lean D is a Democrat lead between 5 and 10 points. Obviously, we need new data points.

As I have stated numerous times on this thread the question is whether Trump can win Connecticut. He can. There is a path to victory. However, it's unlikely that he wins the state. That's a distinction with a difference.