Monmouth Poll: Clinton +4 in Ohio (user search)
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  Monmouth Poll: Clinton +4 in Ohio (search mode)
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Author Topic: Monmouth Poll: Clinton +4 in Ohio  (Read 5251 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: August 22, 2016, 01:31:31 PM »

New Poll: Ohio President by Monmouth University on 2016-08-21

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2016, 01:53:40 PM »

Consistent with Clinton up 5-6 nationally :/

Yeah, I'm skeptical that Ohio will suddenly be to the left of the country overall. Especially when that was SUPPOSED to happen in 2012 and didn't.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2016, 02:54:15 PM »

Ohio probably would be safe R if Kasich was the nominee, which would've been a major coup for the GOP even if his nationwide numbers came back down to earth (and they almost certainly would have.)
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2016, 05:37:03 PM »

It seems like there's some controversy over the methodology here.

Monmouth's unweighed poll - results being results, which red avatars preach on here....
33R/29D/36I. Trump with a 2-point lead.

After Monmouth's special sauce was added, it became
29R/33D/37I. Clinton leading by 4.

Monmouth claims that the poll was reweighed for region, sex, race, age and polling vote history/registration. Their critics claim otherwise.

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