MO-Monmouth: Trump +1
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  MO-Monmouth: Trump +1
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Author Topic: MO-Monmouth: Trump +1  (Read 3338 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 23, 2016, 12:05:09 PM »

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_MO_082316/

Trump - 44%
Clinton - 43%
Johnson - 8%
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2016, 12:05:52 PM »

Seems like Missouri is tired of Utah getting all the Hot Takes!
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2016, 12:07:10 PM »

battleground missouri
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2016, 12:08:29 PM »

Missouri is now Tilt R. The Senate numbers are once again in line with what you would expect with Blunt holding a mid-single digit lead over the up and coming Jason Kander
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2016, 12:08:48 PM »

Trump will probably still win here, but it's time to move this race to toss up. Overrall today has been a pretty great polling day!
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2016, 12:09:23 PM »

Thank you MO.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2016, 12:22:32 PM »

mfw Missouri votes for Hillary while Iowa votes for Trump
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Wells
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« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2016, 12:23:50 PM »

mfw Missouri votes for Hillary while Iowa votes for Trump

That would be an awful map.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: August 23, 2016, 12:27:24 PM »

rofl lmao toss-up missouri
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jamestroll
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« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2016, 12:31:23 PM »

To be honest.. Trump should be landsliding in Missouri. The demographics are nearly perfect for Trump.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2016, 12:34:07 PM »

To be honest.. Trump should be landsliding in Missouri. The demographics are nearly perfect for Trump.


Yeah their MO and IN numbers don't line up with what would be expected.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2016, 12:39:16 PM »

To be honest.. Trump should be landsliding in Missouri. The demographics are nearly perfect for Trump.
Nah, there are a lot of suburban whites that could be turned off by Trump (see his terrible numbers in the Nebraska and Kansas suburbs nearby). Plus a good base of black voters to build off of.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #12 on: August 23, 2016, 12:55:55 PM »

Still Lean R for now, though it has my intrigue.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #13 on: August 23, 2016, 01:12:53 PM »

I think Tim Kaine should stop by to woo some Catholics.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #14 on: August 23, 2016, 01:26:07 PM »

Not going to happen.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #15 on: August 23, 2016, 01:32:27 PM »

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Ebsy
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« Reply #16 on: August 23, 2016, 01:40:42 PM »

Not saying that Clinton is going to win Missouri, but there is deep antipathy for Trump in the working and middle class white communities in St. Louis City and St. Louis County.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #17 on: August 23, 2016, 01:45:10 PM »

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Fargobison
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« Reply #18 on: August 23, 2016, 01:56:58 PM »

Trump struggling in another Monmouth poll? I wonder when he will start whining about them again...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jmtVSYzEU6Q
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dspNY
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« Reply #19 on: August 23, 2016, 01:58:32 PM »

I think Tim Kaine should stop by to woo some Catholics.

Kaine grew up in the KC area
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Ebsy
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« Reply #20 on: August 23, 2016, 02:00:04 PM »

I agree that Kaine would be asset on the ground in St. Louis and KC with white working and middle class Catholics who make up a large section of the democratic coalition in the state.

Jason Kander is doing surprisingly well for someone who has next to 0 name recognition. Hopefully he gets the support he needs to get his name ID up and win the Senate race.
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: August 23, 2016, 02:59:35 PM »

Monmouth is a very good pollster, so even though this seems like a stretch, maybe Trump is struggling in Missouri. I think he'd have to lose by nearly 10% to actually lose it, but stranger things have happened in this election cycle.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #22 on: August 23, 2016, 03:56:47 PM »

Monmouth is a very good pollster, so even though this seems like a stretch, maybe Trump is struggling in Missouri. I think he'd have to lose by nearly 10% to actually lose it, but stranger things have happened in this election cycle.
This is far from the first poll showing a close race in Missouri.  PPP had Trump up 3, Remington Research had him up 2, Mason Dixon had Clinton up 1.
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dspNY
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« Reply #23 on: August 23, 2016, 04:25:49 PM »

Missouri is still Tilt or Lean R because Clinton hasn't been above 43% in any poll there. That being said Trump has not been above 47% in any MO poll.

There have been 9 Missouri polls. Trump leads in 7 (2 of them by 10 and 2 very early ones by 5) and Clinton leads in 2. The ray of hope for Clinton is that the last 4 polls out of MO show a margin of error race with Trump leading by 1, 2, and 3 points in 3 of the 4 polls and Clinton leading by 1 in the 4th poll
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #24 on: August 23, 2016, 04:39:23 PM »

Monmouth is a very good pollster, so even though this seems like a stretch, maybe Trump is struggling in Missouri. I think he'd have to lose by nearly 10% to actually lose it, but stranger things have happened in this election cycle.
This is far from the first poll showing a close race in Missouri.  PPP had Trump up 3, Remington Research had him up 2, Mason Dixon had Clinton up 1.
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