Will Clinton/Trump Outperform the polls?
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  Will Clinton/Trump Outperform the polls?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Will Clinton/Trump Outperform the polls?
#1
Clinton +4 or more		  
#2
Clinton +3		  
#3
Clinton +2		  
#4
Clinton +1		  
#5
No Difference		  
#6
Trump +1		  
#7
Trump +2		  
#8
Trump +3		  
#9
Trump +4 or more		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Will Clinton/Trump Outperform the polls?  (Read 1375 times)
IceSpear
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Posts: 31,840
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #25 on: August 24, 2016, 10:19:32 PM »
Pollsters really, really suck at polling Hispanics. So I expect Hillary to outperform the polls in states like NM and NV, maybe FL, but the polls there are already extremely schizophrenic to begin with.

Trump will probably outperform in many red states as the butthurt Cruz people eventually get in bed with him towards the end.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,060
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E: 2.71, S: -6.09

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« Reply #26 on: August 25, 2016, 11:30:29 AM »
Yes, Trump will.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230
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« Reply #27 on: August 25, 2016, 12:33:14 PM »
Simplifying +4 or more to just 4, here's the data so far with 54 votes:

Mean: Clinton + 0.5%
Median: Clinton + 1.5%
Mode: Clinton +2%
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