FL- Chamber of Commerce: Trump +3
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 12:42:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL- Chamber of Commerce: Trump +3
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: FL- Chamber of Commerce: Trump +3  (Read 2091 times)
Fargobison
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,692


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 24, 2016, 08:14:40 PM »

Donald Trump/Mike Pence 44%
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 41%
Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 9%
Someone Else 2%
Undecided 4%

Donald Trump 44%
Hillary Clinton 43%
Someone Else 7%
Undecided 5%

http://www.flchamber.com/politicians-parties-and-plaintiff-trial-lawyers-are-unknown-or-unliked-in-new-florida-chamber-of-commerce-statewide-poll/
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2016, 08:25:39 PM »

Junk.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 24, 2016, 08:33:09 PM »

Is Trump ahead in Florida, or is Hillary crushing him there? It's a choose your own adventure kind of week for polling.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 24, 2016, 08:37:29 PM »

Polls:

Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,347
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 24, 2016, 08:39:21 PM »

It's from a chamber of commerce, I'm not surprised in the slightest that they have a Republican leading.

It's still a junk poll though.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 24, 2016, 08:40:17 PM »

I dont trust polls directly from advocacy groups.
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 24, 2016, 08:44:54 PM »

Nice to see!
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,347
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 24, 2016, 08:52:45 PM »

Also, no cross tabs, so there's that.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 24, 2016, 09:04:46 PM »

Their poll from September 29 , 2015
http://www.flchamber.com/likely-florida-voters-have-negative-feelings-towards-current-presidential-party-front-runners-hillary-clinton-and-donald-trump/

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Jeb! Cheesy
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 24, 2016, 09:05:11 PM »

Also, no cross tabs, so there's that.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 24, 2016, 09:06:14 PM »

Could be right, but Trump's favorable rating (43%) seems a bit high, doesn't it?

Yep. Like I said, they are a pro-business advocacy group so take this poll with a grain of salt.
Logged
Cruzcrew
Paleocon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 568
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 24, 2016, 09:10:12 PM »

Could be right, but Trump's favorable rating (43%) seems a bit high, doesn't it?

Yep. Like I said, they are a pro-business advocacy group so take this poll with a grain of salt.

Wouldn't they dislike Trump if they're a fiscally conservative pro Bush establishment Republican advocacy group?
Logged
Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,968


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 24, 2016, 09:19:49 PM »

Shocked to see that RCP hasn't placed this poll in their averages so far.
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 24, 2016, 09:31:20 PM »

The poll was conducted by some outfit called Cherry Communications, which is apparently a Republican pollster/voter contact outfit.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 24, 2016, 09:35:57 PM »

Has the FL Chamber endorsed either candidate?  Would impact how we should view this poll.
No official endorsement that I can tell. But as a Chamber of Commerce, they lean Republican. Most of their endorsements are for Repubicans.

Cherry Communications got a C from 538, but there was just a 0.1% net R bias in their surveys.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 24, 2016, 09:45:53 PM »

Has the FL Chamber endorsed either candidate?  Would impact how we should view this poll.
No official endorsement that I can tell. But as a Chamber of Commerce, they lean Republican. Most of their endorsements are for Repubicans.

Cherry Communications got a C from 538, but there was just a 0.1% net R bias in their surveys.

So their just an awful pollster then. Not even Gravis and ARG are rated that low.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 24, 2016, 09:47:22 PM »

lol at Trump's favorability being so high.

JUNK POLL!
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 24, 2016, 09:55:13 PM »

Has the FL Chamber endorsed either candidate?  Would impact how we should view this poll.
No official endorsement that I can tell. But as a Chamber of Commerce, they lean Republican. Most of their endorsements are for Repubicans.

Cherry Communications got a C from 538, but there was just a 0.1% net R bias in their surveys.

538 has a sample size of 2 polls from them, which isn't nearly enough to really know their house effect "should" be.

So many crap polls of FL lately, but whatever, it all averages out.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 24, 2016, 09:56:25 PM »

Has the FL Chamber endorsed either candidate?  Would impact how we should view this poll.
No official endorsement that I can tell. But as a Chamber of Commerce, they lean Republican. Most of their endorsements are for Repubicans.

Cherry Communications got a C from 538, but there was just a 0.1% net R bias in their surveys.

538 has a sample size of 2 polls from them, which isn't nearly enough to really know their house effect "should" be.

So many crap polls of FL lately, but whatever, it all averages out.
Logged
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,665
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 24, 2016, 10:05:30 PM »

The poll was conducted by some outfit called Cherry Communications, which is apparently a Republican pollster/voter contact outfit.

Cherrypicking Communications, eh?  Sounds legit.
Logged
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,697
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 25, 2016, 04:03:28 AM »

Donald Trump 44%
Hillary Clinton 43%
Someone Else 7%
Undecided 5%

What in the world is the point of doing a separate H2H poll if you include a "someone else" option? No wonder it got 7%, all you did was throw out Gary Johnson.
Logged
15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,669


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 25, 2016, 10:41:12 AM »

Did they also poll the Senate race?
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,238
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 25, 2016, 10:56:19 AM »

I do think Florida is about tied right now.  There's a 4th poll out today showing Clinton +1.  The St. Leo poll has been a pro-Clinton outlier this whole cycle.

Monmouth (A+) had Florida at Clinton +9. Marist had it at +5. I'm inclined to believe them over these junk polls.
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,999
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 25, 2016, 11:34:37 AM »

Chamber of Commerce hates Trump.

Polls are still volatile.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 25, 2016, 11:36:58 AM »

I do think Florida is about tied right now.  There's a 4th poll out today showing Clinton +1.  The St. Leo poll has been a pro-Clinton outlier this whole cycle.

Monmouth (A+) had Florida at Clinton +9. Marist had it at +5. I'm inclined to believe them over these junk polls.

That was when Clinton was at her peak and leading by about 2X as much nationally.  She has lost about half of her post-convention bump in the polling averages, so I think a tie or a bare bones lead in Florida is now reasonable.  Trump +3 probably isn't right though.

According to RCP, her post-convention peak was +8, and now she's +6. In addition, there's not much significant evidence based on state polls that tightening has occurred.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 12 queries.