Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Mississippi
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Mississippi		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Rate Mississippi and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 113

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Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Mississippi  (Read 2095 times)
ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: August 25, 2016, 12:01:11 AM »
« edited: August 25, 2016, 12:10:55 AM by ElectionsGuy »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result:

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Ratings



Safe Clinton: 126
Likely Clinton: 17
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 35
Lean Trump: 27
Likely Trump: 14
Safe Trump: 41

Clinton: 152
Trump: 82
Toss-Up: 35

Predictions



Clinton: 187
Trump: 82

Mississippi: Safe R, 56-42 Trump. I already forsee many Likely R votes, but this state is such a lost cause for Democrats, they have almost nowhere to improve other than the age gap. The black vote is maxed, and nothing about the white vote would suggests large swings towards Clinton. Education, income, and geography are all against her and for Trump as well.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2016, 12:03:45 AM »
Safe Trump, by the same 56/42.

Democrats will have to wait till the state becomes majority-minority in the next few decades...

Also probably the worst state for third parties.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2016, 12:05:16 AM »
While it's a tempting target for Hillary, it's just too inelastic, and it's hard to imagine that many white voters who voted for Romney going for Hillary. Safe R, Trump wins 54-44.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2016, 12:07:28 AM »
Quote from: Miles on August 25, 2016, 12:03:45 AM
Also probably the worst state for third parties.

Definitely.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2016, 12:10:07 AM »
Safe R, can't see Trump winning by anything less than 12%
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #5 on: August 25, 2016, 12:37:23 AM »
Safe R.

Trump: 55%
Clinton: 44%
Johnson: 1%
Other: 0%

Definitely the worst state for third parties, with Alabama a close second.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: August 25, 2016, 03:44:41 AM »
Safe Trump because the margin will be very close to the racial divide.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #7 on: August 25, 2016, 06:01:44 AM »
Trump by 10.  As noted, this state is far too inelastic to see any substantial changes.  The Republicans in Mississippi consist of conservative, evangelical, less educated whites (which is Trump's base)--and Hillary can counter only with the African-American vote.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #8 on: August 25, 2016, 08:50:53 AM »
Safe R.

✓ Trump: 58.5%
Clinton: 38.2%
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Harry
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« Reply #9 on: August 25, 2016, 09:45:13 AM »
Our day is coming, but it won't be this year. Trump by 10.
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tinman64
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« Reply #10 on: August 25, 2016, 05:19:40 PM »
Safe R.

Trump 55
Clinton 43
Others 2
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OneJ
OneJ_
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« Reply #11 on: August 25, 2016, 05:58:59 PM »
Quote from: Damar on August 25, 2016, 09:45:13 AM
Our day is coming, but it won't be this year. Trump by 10.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #12 on: August 26, 2016, 04:00:46 PM »
I'm going to bump this, just so that it gets more votes.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2016, 05:53:14 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on August 26, 2016, 04:00:46 PM
I'm going to bump this, just so that it gets more votes.

Cheesy
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2016, 07:38:55 PM »
Likely R, Trump 56-41
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2016, 05:07:33 PM »
« Edited: September 24, 2016, 07:48:07 PM by Titanium D NH »
Safe R.

Trump 56%
Clinton 43%
Johnson 1%
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2016, 07:46:23 PM »
Likely Trump 52%-45%.

This is probably the worst a Republican Presidential candidate could do in MS at this time.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2016, 08:04:09 PM »
« Edited: September 25, 2016, 08:33:52 AM by John Ewards »
Likely L.

Johnson 39%
Trump 31%
Clinton 30%

Wink
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Figueira
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« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2016, 08:20:11 PM »
For a while it looked competitive, but not anymore. Safe R. Maybe a few elections from now.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2016, 05:26:33 AM »
Safe Republican.

Trump: 56%
Clinton: 40%
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peterthlee
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« Reply #20 on: October 07, 2016, 06:43:19 PM »
Lean R
Trump 50-46-4
(haha, at this moment, due to D Trend 3 in a row. On 11/8 it will be Likely to Safe R)
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2016, 06:56:22 PM »
Quote from: peterthlee on October 07, 2016, 06:43:19 PM
Lean R
Trump 50-46-4
(haha, at this moment, due to D Trend 3 in a row. On 11/8 it will be Likely to Safe R)

Go away please
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