Hillary Clinton's popular vote percentage

[F_S_USATN]

Got co-workers venturing guesses that are a pretty wide range..What do we think?

[Speed of Sound]

A fair number of national polls have had her at 50%, and her average is ~47%. That number at this point in 2012 was enough to get Obama to 51%. Clinton is no Obama, but Trump is no Romney, either. It's looking conceivable, though just short is probably most likely.

[F_S_USATN]

I'm thinking 50.5%-51% as of right now

[Sbane]

Yeah, I think she reaches it. Many of those undecided will probably not vote thus inflating the numbers from where they are right now for both Clinton and Trump. There will likely be some movement from Stein and Johnson's numbers into both the Clinton and Trump camp. In the end something like 50-44 or 51-43 for Clinton is my guess.

[President Johnson]

My predictions:

If Johnson is not at the debates (more likely):

Hillary Clinton: 51.29%
Donald Trump: 44.73%
Gary Johnson: 3.57%

If Johnson makes it to the debates:

Hillary Clinton: 47.71%
Donald Trump: 42.87%
Gary Johnson: 8.79%

[Figueira]

I have a feeling the Johnson surge will ultimately decline, but Clinton will maintain her lead over Trump, so yes.

[heatcharger]

My predictions:

If Johnson is not at the debates (more likely):

Hillary Clinton: 51.29%
Donald Trump: 44.73%
Gary Johnson: 3.57%

If Johnson makes it to the debates:

Hillary Clinton: 47.71%
Donald Trump: 42.87%
Gary Johnson: 8.79%

Looks right to me.

[MasterJedi]

Somewhere between 50 and 52%. Jill Stein won't get that many votes and Johnson pulls a lot more from Trump.

[Xing]

The way things stand right now, I'm guessing she gets about 52%.

[Vosem]

Trump+third parties are greater than 50 pretty consistently in all polling, so I highly doubt it. Doesn't mean her margin or her Electoral College victory won't be very impressive of course.

My predictions:

If Johnson is not at the debates (more likely):

Hillary Clinton: 51.29%
Donald Trump: 44.73%
Gary Johnson: 3.57%

If Johnson makes it to the debates:

Hillary Clinton: 47.71%
Donald Trump: 42.87%
Gary Johnson: 8.79%

This depends on whether you see Perot '96 or Nader '00 as a more relevant comparison, but certainly none of the third party candidacies in 2004/2008/2012 are particularly relevant to this years' conversation.

[MIKESOWELL]

I am starting suspect that the Clinton streak of minority popular vote will move to three this November. I think she may come up just shy of 50 percent, or barely reach it, a la Jimmy Carter in 1976.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Could be as low at 48 could be as high as 52-53... just depends.

[psychprofessor]

After the debates and down the homestretch, sane Republicans will have no choice but to come out against Trump or risk losing the Senate and even the House.

Further, without a ground game, I actually think Trump will underperform his polls on election day. I can see a 51-42 Clinton win, third and fourth parties taking the rest.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

The way things stand right now, I'm guessing she gets about 52%.

[Maxwell]

I think pulls around 50-52% of the vote, but not much more than that, while Trump gets between 44-47% of the vote, with indies between 3-4%. I think the country is too divided for much movement in terms of voting atm and Republicans, particularly Trump, are on the wrong side of that division.

[OwlRhetoric]

No one is beating 50% if these persistently high third party numbers hold up. I keep waiting for a collapse, but so far it hasn't happened in the polls. Johnson may well shave off 10% even if he doesn't debate.

[Maxwell]

No one is beating 50% if these persistently high third party numbers hold up. I keep waiting for a collapse, but so far it hasn't happened in the polls. Johnson may well shave off 10% even if he doesn't debate.

third party polling generally doesn't collapse until voters actually have to vote for them.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Clinton 49
Trump 43
Johnson 7
Antivax 1

[Sir Mohamed]

Yes, she’ll end up in the range between 50% and 52%. I expect the Trumpster not to break 46%.

[Breton Racer]

She'll do about the same as her husband 96'.

Clinton-48-51%
Trump-39-42%
Johnson-6-9%
Stein-1-3%

[Plankton5165]

Maybe around 30% for Hillary, and that's it.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Maybe around 30% for Hillary, and that's it.

F*** off, troll.

[Lachi]

Maybe around 30% for Hillary, and that's it.

You're not really making a good first impression...

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Yes. She'll pull over 50%.

Johnson is going to do well, I'd guess over 10%. Trump is going to be an overcooked ham by November - 34% or so. Stein gets around 1%

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

I'd guess somewhere around 50%... if Johnson and Stein fade then she could hit 52 or 53. Otherwise, probably high-40's, unless she wins by something like 10-12.