2016 Dem. Primaries: Warren vs. Sanders
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016 Dem. Primaries: Warren vs. Sanders
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Author Topic: 2016 Dem. Primaries: Warren vs. Sanders  (Read 896 times)
OneJ
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« on: August 26, 2016, 12:21:04 AM »

What if Hillary declines to run for POTUS, but Elizabeth does decide to against Bernie.

Examples of Ideas:
Maps
Demographics (Like Bernie winning say 49% if the white vote)
Popular Vote
Who would have a higher chance defeating Trump?
Etc.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #1 on: August 26, 2016, 11:31:52 PM »


Senator Bernie Sanders - 53.9%
Senator Elizabeth Warren/Mayor Eric Garcetti* - 41.6%
Jim Webb - 4.0%
Others - 0.5%
*Named running mate May 3 to gain support
.

317: Senator Bernie Sanders/Former Governor Martin O'Malley - 52.4%
221: Businessman Donald J. Trump/Former Senator Scott Brown - 44.7%
Others - 2.9%
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AGA
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2016, 10:33:51 PM »
« Edited: August 29, 2016, 09:35:09 AM by Chrome »


Senator Bernie Sanders - 53.9%
Senator Elizabeth Warren/Mayor Eric Garcetti* - 41.6%
Jim Webb - 4.0%
Others - 0.5%
*Named running mate May 3 to gain support
.

317: Senator Bernie Sanders/Former Governor Martin O'Malley - 52.4%
221: Businessman Donald J. Trump/Former Senator Scott Brown - 44.7%
Others - 2.9%

What makes you think that Warren would do so well in the South and that Sanders would not win Minnesota and Wisconsin in the general election?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2016, 11:12:28 PM »

Warren wins in a landslide. She's everything Sanders is and more to the base. all the name recognition too.

Sanders wins Vermont, if he stays in.
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Drew
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2016, 09:06:08 PM »

Demographic splits:

Age:  Young=Bernie, Old=Warren, though the splits aren't as stark as real-life Hillary vs. Bernie.
Gender:  Basically the same gap as real life.
Race/Ethnicity:  White=Bernie, Minorities=Warren.  Splits aren't as stark as real life, since Clinton likely has had a longer, more visible history of building connections with minority communities.
Income:  Low=Bernie, High=Warren, splits less than real life.
Religion:  Religious=Warren, Irreligious=Bernie, splits less than real life.

Though all of the above could all skew towards Warren, as there is a good chance that, like another poster mentioned, Warren can wipe out all states except VT.  Bernie MUST win IA to have any chance (in real life this was a virtual tie).  There's a good chance Warren wins NH, as her state also borders it, and much of the state's population is along the MA border.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #5 on: September 03, 2016, 10:48:44 PM »
« Edited: September 03, 2016, 10:57:22 PM by Spark498 »




Bernie is Green
Warren is Blue

Sanders would defeat Trump 273-265

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