Post your current prediction based on margin.

[Xing]

>30% = 0-5%
>40% = 5-10%
>60% = 10-20%
>90% = 20% or more

[Dr. Arch]

I have a feeling NE-2 will almost certainly flip.

[Xing]

I have a feeling NE-2 will almost certainly flip.

It certainly could, but I'd like to see a Nebraska poll before making that conclusion.

[elcorazon]

>30% = 0-5%
>40% = 5-10%
>60% = 10-20%
>90% = 20% or more

good map - I would make Illinois darker (maybe Washington too) and might actually lighten KY and TN, possibly AR as well. NM might be a shade lighter, too. MN and WI too.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

I have a feeling NE-2 will almost certainly flip.

It certainly could, but I'd like to see a Nebraska poll before making that conclusion.

I've got a good friend in NE-2 who registered D to caucus for Bernie, and she commented yesterday that she was contacted via phone by a D canvasser who was primarily interested in her position on Hillary. (She's a supporter.)

I don't know how serious the Clinton campaign will be, but it seems that they're definitely thinking of making a strong push for it.

[evergreenarbor]

>30% = 0-5%
>40% = 5-10%
>60% = 10-20%
>90% = 20% or more

[Mallow]

Using your thresholds:

[Ronnie]

I'm iffy about Montana and Alaska, mainly because of the Johnson factor.  I'd really like to see a poll out of those two states.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hillary is competitive in all the States that have competitive senate races; won't win SC or TX or AK.

[tinman64]

>30% = 0-5%
>40% = 5-10%
>60% = 10-20%
>90% = 20% or more

348 Clinton, 190 Trump

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Iowa won't be as close as everyone thinks.  [/hunch]  Remember how in 2012 that the Iowa polls were basically tied, then Obama won it by over 5% points on election day?  

[Breton Racer]

Clinton/Kaine-48%(364 Electoral Votes)
Trump/Pence-40%(174 Electoral Votes)
Johnson/Weld-8%
Stein/Baraka-3%