Why did people insist IA-Sen was winnable for Dems?
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  Why did people insist IA-Sen was winnable for Dems?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Why did people insist IA-Sen was winnable for Dems?  (Read 2275 times)
free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #50 on: December 11, 2020, 09:22:04 PM »
Bad polling.
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prag_prog
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« Reply #51 on: December 12, 2020, 01:25:20 AM »
Because people assumed Trump was in a tight race in Iowa and it was a D+8 environment? I was always saying Greenfield can win if Biden doesn't lose by more than than 2 pts....but sadly Biden lost by 8 pts. Greenfield did overperform Biden by 1.6 pts but it's just hard to overcome 8 pt deficit these days
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VAR
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« Reply #52 on: December 12, 2020, 04:20:18 AM »
In my defense, I was quite vocal about this race and did tell you all that the polls would likely be wrong, Ernst's gaffes wouldn't make a significant impact, and Iowa wouldn't 'snap back'. Was this race completely unwinnable for Democrats? Probably not. And I may sound "smug", and maybe creating this thread was not appropriate, but it doesn't make what I'm saying less true.
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MargieCat
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« Reply #53 on: December 12, 2020, 04:24:13 AM »
Is Ernst vulnerable in a blue wave midterm?
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Coldstream
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« Reply #54 on: December 12, 2020, 11:11:26 AM »
Winnable doesn’t mean you are guaranteed to win, or even likely to win, just that you have a chance. The fact Greenfield lost doesn’t mean it wasn’t winnable. That’s not how elections work, just because you lose doesn’t mean it was pointless trying.
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