IA-01: Blum up 7 in his internal

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The LA-AR-MO-IA-MN stack is going completely like the TX-OK-KS-NE-SD-ND one, and within 10 years, Democrats will not have any non-inner city seats in any of those five states and will not be competitive in any statewide elections.

And the signs of that in MN are?

The fact that it has gone from the most Democratic state in the nation in 1984 to a swing state with a PVI of D+2 today?

Minnesota is unique as a state that had basically no trend from 2008 to 2012. It was 3 points more D than the nation both times. No sign of a missourification.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

People always talk about Minnesota being a lily-white state but that's kind of dated. We're still whiter than the national average yes, but as of the last Census we were only about 83% non-Hispanic white. Hennepin County went from about 80% non-Hispanic white in the 2000 Census to about 70% in 2010. At that rate it's less than 2/3 non-Hispanic white now. And just 72% of births in Minnesota in 2011 (obviously less now) were from non-Hispanic white mothers.

So regardless of any trends in the past, there's no reason to expect that to continue. Also the premise that even MN-01 and MN-08 will turn into safe R seats in just 10 years is also pretty ludicrous.

Are people actually saying that about MN-08? LOL considering Nolan survived 2014 with GP candidate on the ballot.