IA-01: Blum up 7 in his internal

[Mr.Phips]

This district is not in the part of Iowa where Trump will do well. Where Trump will overpeform is the third and fourth districts.  Even if Trump wins the state, both the first and second district will still likely go for Clinton by double digits.

[Mr.Phips]

This district is not in the part of Iowa where Trump will do well. Where Trump will overpeform is the third and fourth districts.  Even if Trump wins the state, both the first and second district will still likely go for Clinton by double digits.

No, if Trump wins Iowa, he will have to keep it close in the eastern half of the state, particularly this district. That's where the "MUH BLUE COLLAR WHITES" are that Trump thinks he can win.

When Bush won the state in 2004, he still lost this district by about 9 points.

[Mr.Phips]

The LA-AR-MO-IA-MN stack is going completely like the TX-OK-KS-NE-SD-ND one, and within 10 years, Democrats will not have any non-inner city seats in any of those five states and will not be competitive in any statewide elections.

And the signs of that in MN are?

The fact that it has gone from the most Democratic state in the nation in 1984 to a swing state with a PVI of D+2 today?

It went Dem in 1984 because the Dem candidate was Senator there for years.