What will it take for Democrats to write off Georgia as unwinnable?
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  What will it take for Democrats to write off Georgia as unwinnable?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: What will it take for Democrats to write off Georgia as unwinnable?  (Read 632 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« on: August 27, 2016, 12:44:27 AM »
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2016, 01:15:56 AM »
The margin will matter more than who carried it. If Hillary wins and loses GA by 1 point, obviously they're not going to write it off. If it somehow votes like it did in 2004 again (in an election that isn't a massive Republican landslide overall), then they probably will.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2016, 01:54:57 AM »
I'd say that if Hillary still loses by an Obama '12 like margin, even as she wins in a landslide, Democrats will probably write it off for the time being. Same goes for Arizona. If Democrats can't at least come very close to winning these states against Trump, it's hard to think of a Republican they could win against.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2016, 11:15:24 AM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on August 27, 2016, 01:54:57 AM
I'd say that if Hillary still loses by an Obama '12 like margin, even as she wins in a landslide, Democrats will probably write it off for the time being. Same goes for Arizona. If Democrats can't at least come very close to winning these states against Trump, it's hard to think of a Republican they could win against.

This. But that doesn't preclude the Democrats winning it later on.
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Orser67
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2016, 12:29:59 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 27, 2016, 01:15:56 AM
The margin will matter more than who carried it. If Hillary wins and loses GA by 1 point, obviously they're not going to write it off. If it somehow votes like it did in 2004 again (in an election that isn't a massive Republican landslide overall), then they probably will.
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Clark Kent
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2016, 01:19:56 PM »
As long as it remains consistently close, never. The GOP hasn't written off Wisconsin (despite not winning since 1984) or Pennsylvania and Michigan (despite not winning since 1988).
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2016, 03:33:29 PM »
If by 2024 they have made little progress in either the Presidential race, Senate or Governors elections they will probably move there resources to other states. It still took a few elections for Democrats to really start seeing a return on their investment in North Carolina and Virginia though.     
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Blue3
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2016, 05:58:23 PM »
Quote from: Speaker Kent on August 28, 2016, 01:19:56 PM
As long as it remains consistently close, never. The GOP hasn't written off Wisconsin (despite not winning since 1984) or Pennsylvania and Michigan (despite not winning since 1988).
Exactly.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2016, 07:51:52 PM »
Depends on the national margin. If they win in 2016 and 2020 nationally decently (4+ points) and still lose Georgia by 5 points or more, then right it off. If they lose or win by a little and its still surprisingly close, don't give up. Obviously the trend is what we're going to watch in the next few presidential elections.
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