Which "safe state" do the Democrats have the best chance of flipping (Senate)?
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  Which "safe state" do the Democrats have the best chance of flipping (Senate)?
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Poll
Question: And yes, I know the chances of all of these are less than 1%
#1
Alabama
 
#2
Alaska
 
#3
Arkansas
 
#4
Idaho
 
#5
Kansas
 
#6
Kentucky
 
#7
North Dakota
 
#8
Oklahoma
 
#9
South Carolina
 
#10
South Dakota
 
#11
Utah
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 32

Author Topic: Which "safe state" do the Democrats have the best chance of flipping (Senate)?  (Read 1307 times)
Figueira
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« on: August 27, 2016, 11:01:45 PM »

3 week poll. I'm wondering what people's thoughts are.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2016, 11:07:35 PM »

Alaska, only because it's Alaska.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2016, 11:29:54 PM »

Kentucky, I guess. Maybe Arkansas if Hillary has a surprisingly strong former home state effect.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2016, 11:34:45 PM »

Alaska, since Murkowski isn't exactly beloved by many Republicans in that state. Still, it won't happen.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2016, 11:36:58 PM »

North Dakota, it's been a VERY Democratic state over the past decades at the Senate level. I'm really nervous about that race.



Just kidding. Alaska, it can be prone to weird trends. Moran is WAY more popular than Roberts and has only token opposition, Paul is pretty popular despite my quite being the best fit for Kentucky, and Eldridge is strong but not nearly good enough to overcome the heavy Republican tilt of the state. Clinton won't get much (if any) former home state boost in Arkansas, I don think.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2016, 01:27:39 PM »

I don't know why people are voting Alaska. The Democrat has literally raised $0.

KY and AR are obviously <1%, but they at least have serious candidates.
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windjammer
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2016, 04:00:13 PM »

Kentucky definitely
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JMT
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2016, 07:11:48 PM »

Dems won't win any of these, but if I had to pick one, I'd pick Kentucky because maybe people are unhappy with Paul after his presidential run, and Jim Gray is a serious candidate. None of the other races (with the exception of Arkansas) have credible Democrats running.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2016, 07:35:48 PM »

This year, or generally?

Generally, Alaska. This year, Arkansas, maybe.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2016, 09:34:36 PM »

I would eat my hat if ,given current standings, any of these states flipped.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2016, 10:10:44 PM »

I don't know why people are voting Alaska. The Democrat has literally raised $0.

KY and AR are obviously <1%, but they at least have serious candidates.
Probably due to the small likelihood of Murkowski getting primaried and not trying the write-in campaign. Long shot, but all the other seats may be even longer.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2016, 10:14:01 PM »

I don't know why people are voting Alaska. The Democrat has literally raised $0.

KY and AR are obviously <1%, but they at least have serious candidates.
Probably due to the small likelihood of Murkowski getting primaried and not trying the write-in campaign. Long shot, but all the other seats may be even longer.

The primary was 11 days ago. She won VERY easily.
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