Morning Consult (end-August): Trump gaining (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 04:39:46 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Morning Consult (end-August): Trump gaining (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Morning Consult (end-August): Trump gaining  (Read 1523 times)
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,710
« on: August 28, 2016, 10:25:00 AM »
Some people put way too much stock in minor poll fluctuations.  Sean Trende (the polling guy for RCP) has pointed out that polls should be noisy; when the results of several polls are too smooth or consistent, it's suspicious.  Nate Silver's also got a good illustration of how noisy even a tracking poll is likely to be; see https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/769565612955824128.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 13 queries.