Will Hillary Clinton win the South Atlantic?
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  Will Hillary Clinton win the South Atlantic?
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Poll
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the South Atlantic?
#1
No; Trump wins by more than 5
#2
No; Trump wins by 3-5
#3
No; Trump wins by less than 3
#4
Yes; Clinton wins by less than 3
#5
Yes; Clinton wins by 3-5
#6
Yes; Clinton wins by more than 5
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Author Topic: Will Hillary Clinton win the South Atlantic?  (Read 2674 times)
Adam Griffin
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« on: August 28, 2016, 09:27:26 PM »

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Figueira
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2016, 12:24:18 AM »

She may win Tristan da Cunha, but she'll get crushed in St. Helena and Ascension.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2016, 12:49:49 AM »

This seems like a region where Hillary might even do better than Obama '08. She looks set to win Virginia by a wide margin, probably more than 6%, she's slightly ahead in North Carolina, she's closer in Georgia and South Carolina than Obama was, and is ahead by more than 3 in several Florida polls. I'm guessing a 3-5 point win for Hillary.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2016, 12:50:30 AM »

She may win Tristan da Cunha, but she'll get crushed in St. Helena and Ascension.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2016, 01:39:15 AM »

She may win Tristan da Cunha, but she'll get crushed in St. Helena and Ascension.

Surely she could rack up a decent margin in the Falklands?
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2016, 01:46:12 AM »

She may win Tristan da Cunha, but she'll get crushed in St. Helena and Ascension.

Surely she could rack up a decent margin in the Falklands?

Yeah. She would defend them from the filthy Argentines. Donald wouldn't lift a finger to save them. Sad!
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LLR
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2016, 08:43:08 AM »

Very likely a sweep. Probably a 2-5 point win
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AGA
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2016, 09:53:57 AM »

Even if she does worse nationally than Obama did in 2008, she may still win this area due to its Democratic trend.

She will likely win it by under 3 points.
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shua
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2016, 12:14:07 PM »

VA +9
NC +/-1
SC -6
GA -3
FL +4

Clinton abt +2 overall.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2016, 02:03:22 PM »
« Edited: August 29, 2016, 05:30:18 PM by Squidward Scissorhands »

You forgot Maryland and Delaware.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2016, 02:16:51 PM »


If you include Maryland and Delaware it's "safe Hillary"
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AGA
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« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2016, 05:23:46 PM »


Those are Mid-Atlantic.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: August 29, 2016, 05:28:54 PM »


No, look at the Census. They consider Maryland and Delaware to be part of the South Atlantic. (Of course, back when the census was first taken Maryland and Delaware were southern, but now they are only part of the South Atlantic for consistency.

OP also forgot West Virginia.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: August 29, 2016, 05:32:14 PM »

Looks like North Carolina is the bellwether, Clinton looks set for a narrow win here.
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Breton Racer
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« Reply #14 on: August 29, 2016, 07:06:08 PM »



Florida
C- 48%
T- 43%
Georgia
C-46.5%
T- 46
North Carolina
C- 48%
T- 43%
Virginia
C- 52%
T- 38%
South Carolina
T- 47%
C- 44%

Overall
Clinton- 47.5%
Trump- 43%
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Lachi
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« Reply #15 on: August 29, 2016, 07:16:59 PM »


No, look at the Census. They consider Maryland and Delaware to be part of the South Atlantic. (Of course, back when the census was first taken Maryland and Delaware were southern, but now they are only part of the South Atlantic for consistency.

OP also forgot West Virginia.

They are in the mid-Atlantic region when talking about elections.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #16 on: August 29, 2016, 07:21:19 PM »


No, look at the Census. They consider Maryland and Delaware to be part of the South Atlantic. (Of course, back when the census was first taken Maryland and Delaware were southern, but now they are only part of the South Atlantic for consistency.

OP also forgot West Virginia.

I'm familiar with those boundaries, but it'd be effectively pointless to include MD & DE - as has already been mentioned - and WV doesn't even border the Atlantic, so junk state. It's also worth pointing out that "Mid-Atlantic" in politics includes some states across those boundaries. It's comparable to discussing "Central America" in a conversation where the continents of North and South America are more formally recognized.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #17 on: August 29, 2016, 07:24:29 PM »

^^^ In some ways, it is even pointless to ask the question given the boundaries I've included, seeing as how Clinton seems to be performing substantially better than Obama 12 in each state and he only lost the region by 1.7 points in 2012. I guess I'm more interested in what people think the margin will be than anything else.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #18 on: November 30, 2016, 09:51:50 AM »

Womp womp womp:



Still kind of cool that his margin grew by less than one point compared to Romney's (Thanks, GA).
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #19 on: November 30, 2016, 12:17:54 PM »

[sarcasm]Hillary may have lost it, South Carolina is inevitably trending blue.  Liberal transplants transforming the state.  East coast cosmopolitanism.  It's not really Southern anymore.

In 10 years, the Northeast will stretch from Maine to Florida.[sarcasm]

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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #20 on: November 30, 2016, 12:52:20 PM »

certainly possible. after all, florida and possibly north carolina voted for her
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shua
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« Reply #21 on: November 30, 2016, 01:02:05 PM »

Trump still got a lower percentage than McCain.
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