PA, NV, WI
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  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  PA, NV, WI
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Poll
Question: Rank these states in terms of likelihood of voting Trump
#1
PA, NV, WI
 
#2
PA, WI, NV
 
#3
NV, PA, WI
 
#4
NV, WI, PA
 
#5
WI, PA, NV
 
#6
WI, NV, PA
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 52

Author Topic: PA, NV, WI  (Read 946 times)
Bismarck
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« on: September 01, 2016, 12:43:22 PM »

These are three states that seem to be on the periphery of being competitive for Trump, and there has been a lot of disagreement here as to which are truly competitive. I'd say PA is still most likely to flip, and Wisconsin is least at the moment. As of right now, I doubt Trump carries any of them.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2016, 12:51:15 PM »

Tough call, but I had to vote NV, PA, WI. I know that many posters claim that NV is safe dem, but the polls (flawed as they may be) claim otherwise. I just can't see WI going Trump even though the polls aren't as good for Clinton as I thought they would be. Polls have been very solid for Hillary in PA, but the electorate should be more up Trumps alley than that in WI.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2016, 12:51:32 PM »

NV, WI, PA.  I used to think WI was impossible, but given recent polling, while WI is still impossible, PA is impossibler.

The "muh Nevada is impossible to poll accurately" may or may not be correct.  If polls are in fact correct, Nevada will be close.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2016, 01:05:01 PM »

NV, WI, PA

I dont think he will be close in any of these.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: September 01, 2016, 01:32:59 PM »

PA, WI, NV. He won't win any, though. People talking about muh close NV polls seem to have trouble remembering previous elections.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #5 on: September 01, 2016, 01:38:57 PM »

PA, WI, NV. He won't win any, though. People talking about muh close NV polls seem to have trouble remembering previous elections.

Except there is no way to know for sure whether NV polls are underestimating Democratic strength again. They didn't in 2014, for example.
Latinos hate Furer! Sieg Heil!
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #6 on: September 01, 2016, 01:40:39 PM »

PA, WI, NV. He won't win any, though. People talking about muh close NV polls seem to have trouble remembering previous elections.

Except there is no way to know for sure whether NV polls are underestimating Democratic strength again. They didn't in 2014, for example.

Se podría pensar que ellos han mejorado su metodología.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: September 01, 2016, 01:44:39 PM »

PA, WI, NV. He won't win any, though. People talking about muh close NV polls seem to have trouble remembering previous elections.

Except there is no way to know for sure whether NV polls are underestimating Democratic strength again. They didn't in 2014, for example.

Considering you hate how people bring up the 2010 NH senate race, you shouldn't be bringing up the 2014 race, which Democrats didn't even try to win. Not to mention, Sandoval didn't have any problems with Latinos, like most Republicans nowadays do (especially Trump.) People said Kentucky pollsters might not be wrong again in 2015, and we saw what happened. Nevada is a tough state to poll, and not conducting any interviews in Spanish does affect the results.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #8 on: September 01, 2016, 02:54:37 PM »

He'll win all three, but I'll say Wisconsin-Pennsylvania-Nevada for now.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #9 on: September 01, 2016, 03:22:28 PM »

He'll win all three, but I'll say Wisconsin-Pennsylvania-Nevada for now.

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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #10 on: September 01, 2016, 06:09:56 PM »

NV >>>>>> PA > WI
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Ronnie
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« Reply #11 on: September 01, 2016, 06:14:49 PM »
« Edited: September 01, 2016, 06:18:43 PM by Ronnie »

I'm gonna say PA > NV > WI.  PA is the only one of the three I could see Trump winning if he wins the national popular vote.  NV, on the other hand, is fool's gold, and Trump is a bad fit for Wisconsin, which is ordinarily an incredibly difficult state for Republican presidential candidates.
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