Trump to Launch $10 Million Ad Buy For This Week

[Erich Maria Remarque]

I guess Trump realized that he can't count on Pennsylvania. Obviously several of these states (like Nevada, for example) aren't really in play, but I guess he has to at least try to win more than OH/PA/FL.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

I wonder if they will add Wisconsin.  I wonder if their internal polling matches the two recent WI polls.  The PBS report from yesterday said they had a lot of offices in WI, so it would make sense for it to be on their list for TV too.

But just stop this thing about magic internals.

Look at 538's model. Last two polls were expected by their model: Monmouth didn't change it at all (just slightly), while Marquette was little bit better than expected. What did the magic? They DID LISTEN to those "junky" nationall polls. That's it.

I'm not kidding, just look at it http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/#now

The expected margin (for yesterday) was D+3.8

What did we get today? D+5 and D+3

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Glad to see he's wasting a ton of money on VA, and some on CO, NV, and NH.

Great news!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Saw my first Trump ad today in MD (DC media market).

Has it changed you?