If Bloomberg had run, what states could he have won?

[Arbitrage1980]

He would've done very well in states with high % of college educated whites who are socially liberal, as well as states with more of a libertarian bent.

Assuming he spent $1 billion and ran a great campaign, I think he could have won the following:

Maine
New Hampshire
Connecticut
Virginia
Minnesota
Colorado
Washington
Oregon

[Misoir]

why would he run when his interests are already represented in this race

[IceSpear]

None.

[they don't love you like i love you]

None. He wouldn't even get double digits in any.

[ag]

Most likely: none, unfortunately.

[andrew_c]

None, but he would split the Democratic vote enough for Hillary to lose.

[Figueira]

None. People don't win states unless they're getting, like, at least a third of the vote nationwide. Also, Bloomberg was planning on running against Sanders, not Clinton.

The only one of the states you listed where he could have broken 5% is Connecticut.

[Blue3]

None.

[Penelope]

None, but he would split the Democratic vote enough for Hillary to lose.

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Mike Pence (R-IN) - 365 EV (46%)
Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 154 EV (42%)
Michael Bloomberg (I-NY)/Chuck Hagel (I-NE) - 0 EV (8%)
Gary Johnson (L-NM)/Bill Weld (L-MA) - 0 EV (3%)
Jill Stein (G-MA)/Ajamu Baraka (G-IL) - 0 EV (1%)

[Seriously?]

Not a single solitary one.

[rafta_rafta]

0

[LLR]

He'd have a bit of a shot at Jersey, if anything.

[Inmate Trump]

He would have been a high profile candidate in a race with the most unpopular candidates from each party ever.

He wouldn't win the election, but to say he wouldn't win a single state or get into double digits anywhere I think is probably a big miscalculation.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

None, although he might have pushed Johnson out of the race. I could see him narrowly making the debates, though.

[muon2]

Bloomberg had extensive polling and professional analysis done in Feb, before announcing in Mar that he wouldn't run. If Sanders was the nominee the EV analysis was Trump 11/Sanders 71/Bloomberg 201/Undecided 255, and that would have been enough to put him in the race. But Super Tuesday and Dem delegate rules made it clear that Clinton would be the nominee. The analysis was Trump 75/Clinton 175/Bloomberg 75/Undecided 213 and Bloomberg felt there was too much risk that he would throw the race to Trump. In that scenario the states where he polled enough from both parties to win a three-way race were AZ, IL, MD, MI and OH.

[Seriously?]

He would have been a high profile candidate in a race with the most unpopular candidates from each party ever.

He wouldn't win the election, but to say he wouldn't win a single state or get into double digits anywhere I think is probably a big miscalculation.

Name the last last two independent candidates to win a state.

I'll give you a hint: they were in 1964 and 1948.

Not happening. Especially with the soda, gun and cigarette grabber as the candidate.

[Sir Mohamed]

None.

[Figueira]

Bloomberg had extensive polling and professional analysis done in Feb, before announcing in Mar that he wouldn't run. If Sanders was the nominee the EV analysis was Trump 11/Sanders 71/Bloomberg 201/Undecided 255, and that would have been enough to put him in the race. But Super Tuesday and Dem delegate rules made it clear that Clinton would be the nominee. The analysis was Trump 75/Clinton 175/Bloomberg 75/Undecided 213 and Bloomberg felt there was too much risk that he would throw the race to Trump. In that scenario the states where he polled enough from both parties to win a three-way race were AZ, IL, MD, MI and OH.

What states did he think he could win?

[NeverAgain]

None.

[Kingpoleon]

He would have been a high profile candidate in a race with the most unpopular candidates from each party ever.

He wouldn't win the election, but to say he wouldn't win a single state or get into double digits anywhere I think is probably a big miscalculation.

Name the last last two independent candidates to win a state.

I'll give you a hint: they were in 1964 and 1948.

Not happening. Especially with the soda, gun and cigarette grabber as the candidate.

1968 and 1960, but don't let the actual results mess you up.

[Seriously?]

He would have been a high profile candidate in a race with the most unpopular candidates from each party ever.

He wouldn't win the election, but to say he wouldn't win a single state or get into double digits anywhere I think is probably a big miscalculation.

Name the last last two independent candidates to win a state.

I'll give you a hint: they were in 1964 and 1948.

Not happening. Especially with the soda, gun and cigarette grabber as the candidate.

1968 and 1960, but don't let the actual results mess you up.

You and I both know what I am getting at here. Third-parties have very little chances of winning any state in 2016.

As far as 1968 goes, what state did a third party take?
In 1960, Byrd was considered a Democrat and it was an elector revolt.

[Bismarck]

He would have been a high profile candidate in a race with the most unpopular candidates from each party ever.

He wouldn't win the election, but to say he wouldn't win a single state or get into double digits anywhere I think is probably a big miscalculation.

Name the last last two independent candidates to win a state.

I'll give you a hint: they were in 1964 and 1948.

Not happening. Especially with the soda, gun and cigarette grabber as the candidate.

1968 and 1960, but don't let the actual results mess you up.

You and I both know what I am getting at here. Third-parties have very little chances of winning any state in 2016.

As far as 1968 goes, what state did a third party take?
In 1960, Byrd was considered a Democrat and it was an elector revolt.

1968- does George Wallace ring a bell?

[Seriously?]

He would have been a high profile candidate in a race with the most unpopular candidates from each party ever.

He wouldn't win the election, but to say he wouldn't win a single state or get into double digits anywhere I think is probably a big miscalculation.

Name the last last two independent candidates to win a state.

I'll give you a hint: they were in 1964 and 1948.

Not happening. Especially with the soda, gun and cigarette grabber as the candidate.

1968 and 1960, but don't let the actual results mess you up.

You and I both know what I am getting at here. Third-parties have very little chances of winning any state in 2016.

As far as 1968 goes, what state did a third party take?
In 1960, Byrd was considered a Democrat and it was an elector revolt.

1968- does George Wallace ring a bell?

Grr. You're right. I meant 1964.