Will Trump break 60% in Waukesha County, WI?

[Mr. Illini]

Previous election results:

2012
Romney 67%
Obama 32%

2008
McCain 62%
Obama 37%

2004
Bush 67%
Kerry 32%

2000
Bush 65%
Gore 32%

I think it will be close, but ultimately he will fall below 60%. McCain almost dipped below the mark in 2008. This area was not just Cruz Country, but certainly an area where turnout could suffer and Johnson could pick up a few points.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm guessing just under 60%.

[Matty]

Internal polling has clinton beating trump in the WOW counties by 5 points.

[Dr. Arch]

I'm guessing just under 60%.

[Matty]

I'm guessing just under 60%.

Internal polling has clinton up 5 in waukesha.

[Dr. Arch]

I'm guessing just under 60%.

Internal polling has clinton up 5 in waukesha.

Hmm... he might get not just beaten, but demolished then.

[Xing]

It's hard to imagine Trump actually losing here, but I'm guessing he won't crack 60. He'll probably get in the mid to upper 50s.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm guessing just under 60%.

Internal polling has clinton up 5 in waukesha.

It's complete junk, ignore it.

[GeorgiaModerate]

He'll win Waukesha, but not break 60%.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Clinton hatred trumps Trump skepticism.  He'll easily break 60%.

My gut says that the conservative voters who turn on Trump will be concentrated in the Green Bay-Appleton-Oshkosh corridor.  This is the population center (at 800,000, collectively larger than the WOW counties) that will be key to Clinton's victory.

[Wiz in Wis]

I'm guessing just under 60%.

Internal polling has clinton up 5 in waukesha.

It's complete junk, ignore it.

Not internal, but the last Marquette poll had Clinton winning non-MKE SE Wisconsin by 5. That would include WOW, but also Racine, Kenosha, and Walworth counties, as well as suburban Milwaukee County. That would still be an improvement on Obama 08, however. Would not surprise me if WOW ended up 50 Trump, 43 Clinton, 7 other.

[Wiz in Wis]

Clinton hatred trumps Trump skepticism.  He'll easily break 60%.

My gut says that the conservative voters who turn on Trump will be concentrated in the Green Bay-Appleton-Oshkosh corridor.  This is the population center (at 800,000, collectively larger than the WOW counties) that will be key to Clinton's victory.

What counties are you including to get to 800k?

[Gass3268]

Clinton hatred trumps Trump skepticism.  He'll easily break 60%.

My gut says that the conservative voters who turn on Trump will be concentrated in the Green Bay-Appleton-Oshkosh corridor.  This is the population center (at 800,000, collectively larger than the WOW counties) that will be key to Clinton's victory.

Last Marquette poll actually had Clinton losing the Green Bay Media Market by a good amount. Could have just been due to small sample size, but it will be something to be on the look out for in their September poll.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Clinton hatred trumps Trump skepticism.  He'll easily break 60%.

My gut says that the conservative voters who turn on Trump will be concentrated in the Green Bay-Appleton-Oshkosh corridor.  This is the population center (at 800,000, collectively larger than the WOW counties) that will be key to Clinton's victory.

What counties are you including to get to 800k?

Brown, Outagamie, Winnebago, plus parts of Calumet, Shawano, Kewaunee, and Oconto, because the GB-Appleton-Oshkosh metro now extend into those counties.

It's actually closer to 750,000 than 800,000.  But since people also live in Manitowoc and Waupaca counties and commute into GB and the Fox Cities, you could also include parts of them as well.

[Koharu]

He'll win Waukesha, but not break 60%.

[Maxwell]

rofl lmao Trump may not actually break 60% here. Devastating if true.