New poll hype thread

[Dr. Arch]

Anything else in the works for this week?

[cinyc]

Anything else in the works for this week?

I have a Google Surveys Maine poll in the field.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anything else in the works for this week?

I have a Google Surveys Maine poll in the field.

When will it be over?  Or is it open-ended until you get the minimum number of responses?

[cinyc]

Anything else in the works for this week?

I have a Google Surveys Maine poll in the field.

When will it be over?  Or is it open-ended until you get the minimum number of responses?

Probably Saturday.  Sunday morning, at the latest.  It's currently at 159 of 833 respondents. 

GCS is open-ended until we get to 833 respondents, but past practice shows that Google Surveys usually polls in batches at a given time during the day - sometimes in the mornings, sometimes in the evenings, sometimes in the afternoon.  You're usually ensured to get one of each in your sample.  The polls usually take 3 days.  It started late last night, but I wouldn't count that, since it received 10 responses or so yesterday.

The large sample size is in a hope that I can get something somewhat useable as a ME-02 subsample, but I'm not sure that will happen.

[rafta_rafta]

Anything else in the works for this week?

I have a Google Surveys Maine poll in the field.

Looking forward to the results

[cinyc]

Anything else in the works for this week?

I have a Google Surveys Maine poll in the field.

Looking forward to the results

Unfortunately, so far the ME-02 experiment isn't working.  110/159 results so far don't have a known location associated with them - yet.  Most of those came from the Mobile app.  Only 16 are  from ME-2. 

Hopefully, the sample gets less from the Mobile App and more from other sources as time goes on, or they start telling me where in the state the Mobile App results came from in the final results.

[The Other Castro]

Seems like PPP is only doing private client polls for the rest of the election.

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  4m4 minutes ago
We're just going to run our private business and leave the public poller coaster to everyone else for the last week and a half (1 of 2)

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  3m3 minutes ago
But I'm sure our clients will release some of the polls we do for them in the closing stretch (2 of 2)

[Person Man]

Seems like PPP is only doing private client polls for the rest of the election.

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  4m4 minutes ago
We're just going to run our private business and leave the public poller coaster to everyone else for the last week and a half (1 of 2)

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  3m3 minutes ago
But I'm sure our clients will release some of the polls we do for them in the closing stretch (2 of 2)

It seems a lot of people are releasing private and internal polls.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Seems like PPP is only doing private client polls for the rest of the election.

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  4m4 minutes ago
We're just going to run our private business and leave the public poller coaster to everyone else for the last week and a half (1 of 2)

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  3m3 minutes ago
But I'm sure our clients will release some of the polls we do for them in the closing stretch (2 of 2)

It's like one big 2010 NV Senate race....
It seems a lot of people are releasing private and internal polls.

[The Other Castro]

From Monmouth:

Patrick Murray ‏@PollsterPatrick  1m1 minute ago
Great. All we have is Comey's letter; weekend TV will be pure speculation.

Just started bunch of state polls; may or may not catch effect

[F_S_USATN]

Emerson is coming out with PA, MI and NH momentarily

[elcorazon]

PA - Clinton +8
MI - Clinton +11
NH - Clinton +10

[GeorgiaModerate]

PA - Clinton +8
MI - Clinton +11
NH - Clinton +10

Too late, they're already out.

[elcorazon]

PA - Clinton +8
MI - Clinton +11
NH - Clinton +10

Too late, they're already out.

and I was WAY OFF

[GeorgiaModerate]

PA - Clinton +8
MI - Clinton +11
NH - Clinton +10

Too late, they're already out.

and I was WAY OFF

You forgot the Emerson Effect.   (There's no way Clinton would have been that far ahead in landline-only polls.)

[calvinhobbesliker]

I assume Marquette will release its final Wisconsin poll next Wednesday? Poll dates should be from yesterday to Sunday.

[Pyro]

I assume Marquette will release its final Wisconsin poll next Wednesday? Poll dates should be from yesterday to Sunday.

Will this be the first post-email poll?

[cinyc]

My Maine poll is now a little over half done.  The good news is that we're starting to get usable town info - out of the 476 responses, we have 166 with demo and town data in ME-01 and 133 in ME-02.  Unfortunately, though, we still have a good number (103) with demo data that lack town data, and those results are so different from the others that I'm not sure how accurate the ME-01 and ME-02 numbers are alone.  I hope the final data dump fixes the town data issue, but I'm not optimistic.

As to what I'm seeing, the results so far are... interesting.

[The Other Castro]

ME-2: Johnson 99%, McMullin 1%.

[cinyc]

ME-2: Johnson 99%, McMullin 1%.

McMullin isn't on the ballot in Maine.  Just Trump, Clinton, Johnson and Stein.

[GeorgiaModerate]

ME-2: Johnson 99%, McMullin 1%.

McMullin isn't on the ballot in Maine.  Just Trump, Clinton, Johnson and Stein.

For some reason, "Trump, Clinton, Johnson, and Stein" makes me picture a seedy law firm.

[The Other Castro]

ME-2: Johnson 99%, McMullin 1%.

McMullin isn't on the ballot in Maine.  Just Trump, Clinton, Johnson and Stein.

You can take the Mormon out of Maine, but you can't take Maine out of the Mormon. I don't really know what I'm saying right now since I'm a little drunk, but my boy mcmuffins got this.

[ApatheticAustrian]

Statewide: 43% Trump, 42% Clinton, 13% Others
ME-01: 47% Clinton, 38% Trump
ME-02: 49% Trump, 37% Clinton

is ME2 as populated as me-01?

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Statewide: 43% Trump, 42% Clinton, 13% Others
ME-01: 47% Clinton, 38% Trump
ME-02: 49% Trump, 37% Clinton

is ME2 as populated as me-01?

It has to be

[Person Man]

ME-2: Johnson 99%, McMullin 1%.

McMullin isn't on the ballot in Maine.  Just Trump, Clinton, Johnson and Stein.

For some reason, "Trump, Clinton, Johnson, and Stein" makes me picture a seedy law firm.