New poll hype thread

[heatcharger]

Its Selzer so its going to be her bizzare 2004 modeling junk.  So Trump +5 or so

Well Iowa's demographics are probably pretty similar to 2004, unlike Florida, although they were wrong big league in the GOP caucus. I'll guess Trump +2.

For the Columbus Dispatch poll, I'll guess Trump +2 as well.

[The Other Castro]

Final Iowa poll from Selzer/DMR coming tonight, 7PM.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-released-general-election/93310622/

I assume that means 7pm Central, not 7pm Eastern?

7 was the time listed, so yes most likely Central time.

[Ebsy]

Yeah it's definitely Central Time.

[Xing]

FL: Clinton +3, Flawless Beautiful Marco +5
OH: Trump +2, Portman +13

IA: Trump +3, Grassley +12

[dspNY]

CBS YouGov

FL: Clinton +3, Rubio +6
OH: Clinton +1, Portman +11

Columbus Dispatch (OH): Trump +2

IA-Selzer: Trump +1 (and that's why I think he's going back, he knows it is close)

[heatcharger]

Final NBC/WSJ national poll coming within the hour. I'll guess:

Clinton 50
Trump 45

Clinton 48
Trump 44
Johnson 4
Stein 1

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Monmouth and CNN has not yet released their national polls. Maybe CBS News, Selzer and SUSA  will as well, but I doubt.

Monmouth is best poll according to 538.

Any information about those?

[The Other Castro]

Monmouth and CNN has not yet released their national polls. Maybe CBS News, Selzer and SUSA  will as well, but I doubt.

Monmouth is best poll according to 538.

Any information about those?

Monmouth usually announces around 10 AM if it's releasing a poll that day (which comes around 1 PM).

[PresidentSamTilden]

Final NBC/WSJ national poll coming within the hour. I'll guess:

Clinton 50
Trump 45

Clinton 48
Trump 44
Johnson 4
Stein 1

Nailed the margins, nice job

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Monmouth and CNN has not yet released their national polls. Maybe CBS News, Selzer and SUSA  will as well, but I doubt.

Monmouth is best poll according to 538.

Any information about those?

Monmouth usually announces around 10 AM if it's releasing a poll that day (which comes around 1 PM).

Thanks! Monmouth will be on Monday

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[ApatheticAustrian]

MM was c+5..

i think C +2.

[Ozymandias]

James Pindell ‏@JamesPindell  9m9 minutes ago
Final @UNHSurveyCenter poll expected to come out tonight. #nhpolitics

[The Other Castro]

James Pindell ‏@JamesPindell  9m9 minutes ago
Final @UNHSurveyCenter poll expected to come out tonight. #nhpolitics

Clinton +12 for the lulz

[dspNY]

James Pindell ‏@JamesPindell  9m9 minutes ago
Final @UNHSurveyCenter poll expected to come out tonight. #nhpolitics

I'll go Clinton +3

[Horsemask]

I'll guess Clinton +4

[ApatheticAustrian]

why do you all expect a clinton lead again?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

why do you all expect a clinton lead again?

Because, um, NH is a deep blue state?

But this is about polling. It is like expecting that LA Times will show tomorrow Clinton +3-4, because, um, she is leading.

[Xing]

why do you all expect a clinton lead again?

Because, um, NH is a deep blue state?

But do the polls reflect that? There's another blue state where the polls never do.

I'll say:
Clinton +3
Hassan +2
Van Ostern +2

[Lief 🗽]

No more polls from NBC/Marist.  The ones on Thursday were the last ones. WTF?

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/795379695386759168

[IceSpear]

No more polls from NBC/Marist.  The ones on Thursday were the last ones. WTF?

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/795379695386759168

No worries, I'm sure Trafalgar and Gravis/Breitbart will pick up the slack.

[heatcharger]

No more polls from NBC/Marist.  The ones on Thursday were the last ones. WTF?

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/795379695386759168

What a shame. Can we get one last non-junk poll out of Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania? Can't believe that's too much to ask.

[Ozymandias]

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn  3m3 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
We'll have a final Upshot/Siena poll of North Carolina tomorrow morning.

[Dr. Arch]

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn  3m3 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
We'll have a final Upshot/Siena poll of North Carolina tomorrow morning.

Very nice. Will they adjust their model based on the findings?

[Speed of Sound]

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn  3m3 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
We'll have a final Upshot/Siena poll of North Carolina tomorrow morning.

Very nice. Will they adjust their model based on the findings?

I'm curious about that too.

[Ebsy]

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn  3m3 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
We'll have a final Upshot/Siena poll of North Carolina tomorrow morning.

Hyped.