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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 92445 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« on: September 06, 2016, 05:10:48 PM »

PPP is putting out a poll tomorrow? If so, this is what I'd expect

Clinton +2
Rubio +5


^^^^^^^
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2016, 10:04:11 AM »

New Georgia poll coming from Monmouth later today. I'll say Trump +3.
I'll say Trump + 4

Trump + 7
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2016, 10:51:20 AM »

Elon Poll ‏@elonpoll  14h14 hours ago
We'll be releasing numbers around 10am tomorrowtoday: Governor, Senate + #HB2. Presidential numbers on Tuesday morning

In case you havent had enough NC polls

Did they release those numbers yet?

Yes, Ross +1, McCrory +3, HB2 disapprove 60/40
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2016, 01:51:27 PM »

Marquette Poll tomorrow too:

WI: Clinton +7
NV: Clinton +3
IA: Trump +1
NC: Tie, Cooper +5
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2016, 12:11:01 PM »

New NBC/Wall Street Journal National Poll at 5pm.

Fox is also releasing state polls in Nevada, North Carolina, and Ohio at 6pm.

Interesting issue breakdown from the NBC/WSJ poll re: concerns voters have about the candidates

Trump's comments and language about women, immigrants and Muslims: 69%
Trump not having the temperament to be commander in chief: 66%
Clinton's email server: 64%
Clinton's foreign policy judgment in the Middle East: 62%
Trump's Putin praise: 59%
Trump not releasing his taxes: 52%
Clinton's deplorables comment: 45%
Clinton's heath: 44%

Based on that issue breakdown I would guess Clinton +5 LV, Clinton +7 RV

As for the Fox state polls, I don't think Clinton will lead any of them. My best guesses:

Nevada: Tie
North Carolina: Trump +3
Ohio: Trump +5 (to keep the Clinton is doomed in the rust belt narrative going).

If Clinton does better I will be pleasantly surprised

To be fair, Fox has had a slight Clinton lean this cycle. I think she leads in NV, ties in NC, is down 1-3 in OH.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2016, 01:56:43 PM »

We're also going to get another dump of Google Consumer State Polls today... I've already looked... SNAFU.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #6 on: September 30, 2016, 10:47:41 AM »


NV Guess?
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Wiz in Wis
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Posts: 2,711


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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2016, 11:04:23 AM »

In addition: Q-Poll today. Looks like FL, NC, PA, OH

"Tim Malloy & Peter Brown to discuss #Florida #NorthCarolina #Ohio #Pennsylvania #SwingState Poll on the 2016 presidential race, TODAY 3pm"

Monmouth:
CO C+8

Q-Poll
FL C+2
NC C+2
PA C+7
OH Tied.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2016, 11:17:06 AM »

TN-Vanderbilt: Trump +8 before debate/Trump +4 post debate

Quinnipiac:

FL: Clinton +4, Rubio +5
OH: Clinton +1, Portman +13
PA: Clinton +8, Tie
NC: Clinton +3, Burr +2, Cooper +4

CO-Monmouth: Clinton +10/Bennet +12


well hello captain optimism.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2016, 10:29:23 AM »

PA:

Clinton +6
McGinty +2
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Wiz in Wis
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Posts: 2,711


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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2016, 09:36:10 AM »

Monmouth releasing Ohio poll results this afternoon

Buckeye State poll coming this afternoon.

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/783676201021898752

Monmouth OH C+2, P +10
PPP OH T+1, P+ 14
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2016, 10:19:34 AM »

Suffolk NC in next hour

My Guess

Clinton +3
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