Election Night '24: My first timeline

[Plankton5165]

At 8:03 am, on November 6, 2024, we have another projection to make.

Gavin Newsom will carry the state of Massachusetts, and its 10 electoral votes. The Codfish State hasn't voted Republican since 1984 until 2020, it did not vote for Kanye West. In fact, it was the only state George McGovern won in 1972, and the worst performing Democratic candidate in Washington DC.

Marco Rubio is at 378 EVs, 99 for Newsom, one away from 100, and Ke$ha has 20.

[Devout Centrist]

Oh my god, this is crazy in a box with a side order of fries.

[Plankton5165]

Now, there are five states left to project a winner in: Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, and New Mexico.

The next win that would be projected wasn't projected until November 10, 2024, at 10:19 AM. Marco Rubio will carry all ten of Missouri's electoral votes. He is at 388, Newsom is at 99, Ke$ha is at 20.

Missouri hasn't been won by a Democrat since 1996, although it was nearly won by Barack Obama in 2008. Rubio and Ke$ha both have 35%, Newsom 29%.

[Plankton5165]

On November 11, 2024, at 2:24 PM, we can make yet another projection.

PMB projects that the state of New Mexico will be won by singer/songwriter Ke$ha, she will capture all four of New Mexico's EVs.

For the first time ever in history in 1976, the Land of Enchantment voted for the loser. 24 years later in 2000 is the second time New Mexico votes for a loser. Now, 24 years later in 2024, New Mexico votes for Ke$ha, when someone else was already declared the winner.

Marco Rubio is at 388 electoral votes, 99 for Gavin Newsom, Ke$ha, coincidentally, has 24 EVs.

[Plankton5165]

On November 12, 2024, at 3:21 PM EST, another win is projected.

PMB projects that Ke$ha will win the state of Mississippi, and its six electoral votes.

In the 2016 primary, like I said before, Rubio got 21% in Tennessee. He received 19% in Alabama. In Arkansas, he finished third, but managed to make the 20% threshold for delegates, by receiving 25% of the vote. In Louisiana, he received 11% of the vote, that place is yet to project a winner. In Mississippi, it's worse for him, he received just 5% of the vote.

Mississippi hasn't voted Democrat since 1976, has now voted for a third party candidate for a third time since the end of World War 2.

388 for Marco Rubio, 99 for Gavin Newsom, 30 for Ke$ha. Only two more states are still in play.

Oddly, Ke$ha doesn't have any islands of her party anymore.

[Plankton5165]

At 10:37 pm EST on November 14, 2024, we have a major projection to make.

Marco Rubio will win Michigan, and all 14 of its electoral votes. With that, he wins all Rust Belt states. Obama, a Democrat, won every single Rust Belt state in 2008.

Michigan has been a slow changer starting the second half of the 20th century. It flipped red in 1948, didn't flip blue until 1960, didn't flip back to red until 1972, didn't flip back to blue until 1992, didn't flip back to red until 2016. In the 2020s, Michigan breaks the tradition. Kanye West flipped the state blue in 2020. Now, this is the only state Marco Rubio will flip red in 2024.

Marco Rubio has broken the 400 barrier, he is at 402. He becomes the second consecutive candidate, and second ever, since Trump in 2020 to break the 400 barrier without carrying the largest state.

Gavin Newsom has 99 electoral votes, 30 for Ke$ha.

Only one state left...

[Plankton5165]

At 7:45 AM on November 15, 2016, we have another major projection to make right now.

PMB projects that Marco Rubio will carry the state of Louisiana, and its 7 EVs. Louisiana is the home state of the Democratic vice presidential nominee, Cedric Richmond.

The Sugar State hasn't voted for a Democrat since 1996.

There are no states in play anymore. The final popular vote totals will be revealed eventually.

In the meantime, here is the final electoral map of the 2024 election. Marco Rubio secured the presidency without many states, and he ends up with a final tally of 409 electoral votes, to Gavin Newsom's 99 electoral votes, to Ke$ha's 30 electoral votes.

Marco Rubio has carried 40 states, Gavin Newsom has carried 6 states and the District of Columbia, Ke$ha has carried 4 states.

[Heisenberg]

This timeline was just crazy!

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Why is Hawaii so highly populated? Why does Idaho have more people than Washington? Is there any logic behind this timeline at all?

[Plankton5165]

2024 could be Elizabeth Warren and John Thune?

Yeah right, if Elizabeth Warren were elected president in 2024, she would become the oldest president elected by a landslide. John Thune would also be pretty old.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Landslide timelines can be fun, but the thing that's the weirdest about this is the EV totals by state.  How did California lose 8- and how in the world did states like Nebraska and Hawaii suddenly wind up with double or more their current numbers?