Who wins?
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  Who wins?
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Question: -skip-
#1
Clinton
 
#2
Trump
 
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Total Voters: 90

Author Topic: Who wins?  (Read 1031 times)
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« on: September 02, 2016, 04:11:58 PM »

I said I was gonna do one more of these polls close to Labor Day so....
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2016, 04:24:14 PM »

Trump has had an okay polling week, but okay for Trump still involves bieng down by 7 and 5 in 3 well respected polling outfits. Its still Hillary's to lose.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2016, 04:30:21 PM »

People are overreacting to a slight change in the polls. Hillary is still ahead or pretty much tied in the Obama states and North Carolina. Hillary will win.
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Pyro
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« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2016, 04:53:09 PM »

No idea. Lean/Tilt D for now.
We'll get a better idea after the first debate.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2016, 04:54:32 PM »

Tossup, but gonna be bold and say Trump.

But this:

We'll get a better idea after the first debate.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2016, 06:41:02 PM »

TRUMP
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2016, 08:32:35 PM »

Clinton is heavily favoured, but I don't see many opportunities for her to change the narrative of the race. And under the current narrative she keeps bleeding and the electorate continues to be desensitized to typical Trump.

She needs a strong debate performance, which is not garaunteed against Trump. She also needs for him to make a Khan-style gaffe.

Needless to say, I'm nervous.

Plus, who knows what DNC leaks are coming in the first week of November? Add to that another ISIS style attack in the United States, and it is not too difficult to see how Trump could win.
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Horus
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« Reply #7 on: September 02, 2016, 09:08:14 PM »

Clinton, with 272 EVs.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: September 02, 2016, 09:25:07 PM »

Still Clinton, barely.  But after today's news, for the first time this cycle, I think she could lose.  It's really a shame because a race against Trump should have been a landslide and now we are headed for something like this:



Clinton/Kaine  297 EV 47.3%
Trump/Pence  241 EV 45.1%

Can everyone just calm down?

Oh and she's not losing WI
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #9 on: September 02, 2016, 09:40:35 PM »
« Edited: September 02, 2016, 09:47:26 PM by John Ewards »

Clinton wins with 270 EV's, but one MN elector accidentally votes for Tim Kiane/Tim Kaine, throwing the election to the House, which elects Kaine as a compromise.
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Lachi
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« Reply #10 on: September 02, 2016, 10:10:35 PM »

Still Clinton, barely.  But after today's news, for the first time this cycle, I think she could lose.  It's really a shame because a race against Trump should have been a landslide and now we are headed for something like this:



Clinton/Kaine  297 EV 47.3%
Trump/Pence  241 EV 45.1%

Can everyone just calm down?

Oh and she's not losing WI

or ME-2
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: September 02, 2016, 10:27:55 PM »

Clinton obviously. Trump has no realistic path to victory in the EC. This race is nowhere near "tossup".

Yeah, the overreaction of both sides to a few polls is pretty silly.
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Ljube
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« Reply #12 on: September 02, 2016, 10:45:19 PM »

Still Trump.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: September 03, 2016, 12:57:58 AM »

Clinton but I'm thinking it'll be a 2012 kind of win these days, not a complete blowout.
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RFayette
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« Reply #14 on: September 03, 2016, 01:01:38 AM »

Clinton, but I have no clue what the margin will be. 

Trump has a shot of winning it, but it is indeed a narrow one.  Regardless, I predict a lot will be up in the air come election night.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: September 03, 2016, 04:37:06 AM »

Hillary. 80% chance.



Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA): 348 EV. (49.81%)
Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN): 190 EV. (44.76%)
Former Governor Gary E. Johnson (L-NM)/Former Governor William Weld (L-MA): 0 EV. (5.16%)
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skoods
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« Reply #16 on: September 03, 2016, 05:16:00 AM »
« Edited: September 03, 2016, 05:19:23 AM by skoods »

You people are insane. Such an overreaction to a few polls.

Do you nuts really think that 6-7 percent of the electorate actually changed their mind from Clinton to Trump in the last week? Ridiculous over reactions to online polls.

Clinton will win and it won't be close.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #17 on: September 03, 2016, 06:56:52 AM »

You people are insane. Such an overreaction to a few polls.

Do you nuts really think that 6-7 percent of the electorate actually changed their mind from Clinton to Trump in the last week? Ridiculous over reactions to online polls.

Clinton will win and it won't be close.
Few polls? Not few.

Online polls? Not really. There came plenty of live interview polls. Some of them were A, some were B, but almost every poll showed a tightening. No one is saying, it is close, but it is much closer than just for 3 weeks ago.

Last week? No, it was rather last month. We've got new evidence from monthly A pollster this week, but it doesn't imply that the tightening itself happened this week. No, it was pretty slow, indeed.
Look at Gallup LIVE favorability tracker (including interview in Spanish) for instance, if you don't believe all other online daily tracker , that also showed slow tightening.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/189299/presidential-election-2016-key-indicators.aspx?g_source=ELECTION_2016&g_medium=topic&g_campaign=tiles#pcf-image

And the fact that it was slow rather than quick (as with Comey) is very good news for Trump  Smiley
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: September 03, 2016, 07:50:38 AM »

Clinton obviously. Trump has no realistic path to victory in the EC. This race is nowhere near "tossup".

There is no blue wall.
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windjammer
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« Reply #19 on: September 03, 2016, 07:53:26 AM »

Clinton by 10 points.
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Wells
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« Reply #20 on: September 03, 2016, 07:58:09 AM »

Clinton will win, but the real nail biter on election night will be whether she wins by single digits or double digits.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #21 on: September 03, 2016, 01:26:50 PM »

Still Clinton, barely.  But after today's news, for the first time this cycle, I think she could lose.  It's really a shame because a race against Trump should have been a landslide and now we are headed for something like this:



Clinton/Kaine  297 EV 47.3%
Trump/Pence  241 EV 45.1%

That's my map, but with Florida to Trump, which flips the election as well.  Trump 270, Clinton 268.  PA could also flip.
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