pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,839
|
|
« on: September 05, 2016, 05:40:12 AM » |
|
R+3. Guessing based upon current polls. No trend is pushing Iowa more D that isn't stronger elsewhere in some other larger states. Of all the states that have gone for a Republican nominee for President no more than once beginning in 1992, Iowa will probably be the weakest win for Hillary Clinton. If a state like Florida or Virginia is going from about R+2 to D+5, then some state has to be going the other way, and Iowa is a candidate for such.
Remember: Iowa elected Senator Joni Ernst in 2014, and Senator Charles Grassley, no moderate, is likely to win re-election handily.
|