WI: President Carter defeated Reagan in 1980?
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  WI: President Carter defeated Reagan in 1980?
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Author Topic: WI: President Carter defeated Reagan in 1980?  (Read 638 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: September 05, 2016, 10:14:48 PM »

Let's say Reagan was successfully labeled as an extremist and voters gave President Carter another chance? How would the world have looked in the 1980s with no Reagan Revolution?
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Arbitrage1980
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« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2016, 11:33:54 PM »

Let's say Reagan was successfully labeled as an extremist and voters gave President Carter another chance? How would the world have looked in the 1980s with no Reagan Revolution?

America would have been much worse off if Carter won a 2nd term.  On the domestic front, the stock market and economic growth would have remained stagnant due to high taxes and regulations.  In 1980, we had a supply problem with the labor force; due to to the extremely high marginal tax rates and bracket creep due to high inflation, people chose to either not work or stay in their current position rather than aspiring to move to a higher bracket.  Reagan's tax cuts and deregulations liberated the American economy from years of liberal excesses.  Reagan also appointed hundreds of conservative federal judges during his presidency, thus ensuring that an activist liberal agenda of the Warren and Burger courts did not continue unabated. 

On the international front, although the Soviets would have collapsed eventually, Reagan hastened its demise through his drastic increase in military spending, supporting anti-communist dissidents throughout the world, and through his clarion call for human freedom.  Reagan was a truly transformational President, whose influence will be felt for years to come.  Unfortunately, we have not had a great man like him as President since. 
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2016, 12:25:13 AM »

Let's say Carter has a solid debate performance and Anderson fades at the end, capturing only 3% of the vote. Carter wins a nailbiter, and as a result, he narrowly survived a tough reelection campaign.

The first thing to deal with now are the Iranian hostages. Negotiations probably would follow the same model in our timeline and Iran would end up releasing them anyway, perhaps increasing Carter's favorability. 

On economic matters, Carter continues to push ahead with his agenda as Volcker pushes disinflation. Carter has a short term honeymoon in terms of approval rating, but it sharply nosedives by the end of 1981.

Disapproval with the Democratic Congress and the double dip recession leads to large Republican gains in the 1982 midterms. The Republicans take control of both houses of Congress, effectively stymieing Carter's agenda.

What happens from here depends on who the Democrats nominate for 84 and how the economy recovers.
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Sumner 1868
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2016, 12:35:17 AM »

Reagan had no real ideology or agenda except "talking tough" and nearly all of his policies were actually just expansions of the neoliberal measures of Nixon/Ford/Carter. So, a Carter reelection means a softer version of Reaganism. The same radical deregulation and austerity craze carries on as it did OTL, except a bit slower. Foreign policy would be less bloody, though.
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