FL-PPP: Trump +1 (4-way), Clinton +1 (2-way)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Latino support was understated in 2012, FL will be close and I think go Dem again

[Wells]

Dems
Trump 15%

Junk.

Thanks! I was little bit afraid, that nobody would unskew it! Thank you very much, Senator Scott!

He isn't unskewing, he's just calling it junk. He's not coming up with any new numbers, so it's not unskewing.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Dems
Trump 15%

Junk.

Thanks! I was little bit afraid, that nobody would unskew it! Thank you very much, Senator Scott!

He isn't unskewing, he's just calling it junk. He's not coming up with any new numbers, so it's not unskewing.

Yuuuuuuuge difference

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Dems
Trump 15%

Junk.

Also remember there's still a lot of Dixiecrats in Northern Florida.

Hence O'Malley hitting 20% in some counties there.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Dems
Trump 15%

Junk.

Thanks! I was little bit afraid, that nobody would unskew it! Thank you very much, Senator Scott!

He isn't unskewing, he's just calling it junk. He's not coming up with any new numbers, so it's not unskewing.

Yuuuuuuuge difference

It's ten times better than any #analysis you've provided here, friend.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

It's ten times better than any #analysis you've provided here, friend.

I haven't. I believe in poll average, even though I have my gut feeling whispering me that there is a YUUUGE Shy Trump effect. But I don't try to unskew polls to match my gut feelings

One can also weight and adjust according to "history performance", if one wants to

That's why I like 538

But I don't believe much "leaked" internals. That's' true!

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Reminder: PPP doesn't do bilingual polling. This means that, in all likelihood, the sample of Latino voters isn't a representative sample.

[Gass3268]

Reminder: PPP doesn't do bilingual polling. This means that, in all likelihood, the sample of Latino voters isn't a representative sample.

Plus the lack of cell phones makes it hard to capture the thousands of new Puerto Rican immigrates. That's why I didn't think the result was that awful for Clinton.

[Spark]

Trump doing better than expected

[King]

Trump leads 60/33 among Whites (!!), but he's trailing Clinton by 49 (22/71) among Non-Whites.

Romney won Florida whites 62-37, so this isn't really that spectacular.

[ProudModerate2]

Trump leads 60/33 among Whites (!!), but he's trailing Clinton by 49 (22/71) among Non-Whites.

Romney won Florida whites 62-37, so this isn't really that spectacular.

Oh really.
Well then in that case, I agree .... this poll does not sound too threatening.