Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Texas
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Poll
Question: Rate Texas and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 113

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Texas  (Read 2809 times)
BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #25 on: October 11, 2016, 11:39:14 PM »
Trump 51
Clinton 45
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #26 on: October 12, 2016, 09:13:52 AM »
Likely R.

My prediction:

✓ Trump: 52.1%
Clinton: 43.8%
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Tiger front
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« Reply #27 on: October 12, 2016, 09:26:53 AM »
Likely R.
Trump 52%
Clinton 45%
Other 3%
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #28 on: October 12, 2016, 09:32:00 AM »

As a Texan, this is the best prediction out there.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #29 on: October 12, 2016, 10:04:18 AM »
Likely R -- definitely not safe in the event of a Trump collapse even if a sure thing in a near-even election.  If Bill Clinton could not win Texas in 1996 and Obama could not win it in 2008, then Texas is a difficult state for any Democrat to win. 

Texas has more people in absolute numbers who could go from Romney to Clinton. Some conservative (for Mexican-American) voters... see also Arizona, and educated white voters who went for McCain in 2008 and Romney in 2012 might now find Trump sickening. Texas is most of the lower range of electoral votes in the 400s for Hillary Clinton, as it was for Obama. 

The elder Bush endorsed Hillary Clinton. What does Kay Bailey Hutchinson (former US Senator) have to say about this Presidential race?

Texas is very conservative on S-E-X, at least in public expressions, and the disgusting behavior of Donald Trump makes Texas vulnerable this year for the first time since the 1990s. It can go against Donald Trump for what he is and not out of any affinity for the DemocraticdParty.     
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AGA
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« Reply #30 on: October 23, 2016, 02:53:54 PM »
Changing rating to Likely R.
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indysaff
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« Reply #31 on: October 23, 2016, 03:14:13 PM »
Tossup, but going to be bold and say Clinton squeaks out a win in the end.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #32 on: October 23, 2016, 03:32:07 PM »
Moving to Lean R, Trump by 2-4.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #33 on: October 23, 2016, 03:34:26 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2016, 05:33:44 PM by Interlocutor »
Switching to Lean R, but still very close to Likely R. Increased latino turnout + Stronger Democratic performances in Harris/Bexar/Travis counties + Depressed Republican turnout + Clinton Republicans =

51-47-2 Trump

A sign of things to come for the future of Texas Republicans, but I'm not expecting another result like this until 2028/2032
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #34 on: October 29, 2016, 04:02:26 PM »
Moving it to Lean R based on early voting numbers and recent polling.

I think Trump will eke out a 3 point win here, but wouldn't be surprised to see polling underestimating the Latino surge, and the EV numbers are extremely favorable for Clinton thus far.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #35 on: October 29, 2016, 04:03:10 PM »
Texas is essentially dooming any chance of a Trump popular vote win.
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #36 on: November 03, 2016, 05:04:24 PM »
Changing to Safe R.
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