‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,867
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87
|
 |
« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2016, 05:33:59 PM » |
|
|
« Edited: September 09, 2016, 05:53:51 PM by John Ewards »
|
oh my god this "Nevada R bias" meme needs to die
look at the 2012 RCP averages. Yes, Nevada polls underestimated Obama's margin by 4 points. However, when you consider that national polls underestimated him by 3 at the same time, this doesn't look all that different from what you would expect. Now, granted, in 2008 NV polls underestimated him by an average of 6 points, while national polls were dead-on or even overestimated him a bit. However, I'm willing to take this as an anomaly, or to accept that pollsters learned their lessons and moved on. Because this constant whining about NV polls- which, like it or not, IS unskewing virtually by definition- is going to die on election night, just like every other "unskewing" conspiracy theory.
|
Poll
