The absentee/early vote thread
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Author Topic: The absentee/early vote thread  (Read 171555 times)
MasterJedi
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« Reply #725 on: October 24, 2016, 10:55:30 AM »

A lot of the Republican areas in WI can start voting today finally. Will get in after work to get my Clinton/Feingold/Ryan vote in.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #726 on: October 24, 2016, 10:58:40 AM »
« Edited: October 24, 2016, 11:00:38 AM by Ozymandias »

Day 2 tallies up at...

"The Nevada Early Voting Blog"

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

"Bottom line: After two days, the raw vote lead in urban Nevada for the Democrats is close to 21,000... It's a very blue wave so far, and Republicans have to be worried..."
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #727 on: October 24, 2016, 11:00:29 AM »

A lot of the Republican areas in WI can start voting today finally. Will get in after work to get my Clinton/Feingold/Ryan vote in.

Bless your soul
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Gass3268
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« Reply #728 on: October 24, 2016, 11:03:36 AM »

Day 2 tallies up at...

"The Nevada Early Voting Blog"

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

"Bottom line: After two days, the raw vote lead in urban Nevada for the Democrats is close to 21,000... It's a very blue wave so far, and Republicans have to be worried..."

Democrats in Nevada should get a referendum put on the ballot that moves the statewide races to Presidential years.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #729 on: October 24, 2016, 11:08:41 AM »

A lot of the Republican areas in WI can start voting today finally. Will get in after work to get my Clinton/Feingold/Ryan vote in.

It would be good if WI tracks by party affiliation. At least it's safe to say Republicans will close the gap that Milwaukee and Dane built.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #730 on: October 24, 2016, 11:22:16 AM »

Day 2 tallies up at...

"The Nevada Early Voting Blog"

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

"Bottom line: After two days, the raw vote lead in urban Nevada for the Democrats is close to 21,000... It's a very blue wave so far, and Republicans have to be worried..."

Truly glorious.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #731 on: October 24, 2016, 11:26:38 AM »

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/790577926819442688

In first four hours of early voting in bellwether Hillsborough County, FL, Dems have a 49-35% lead in voters.  #enthusiasmgap

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/790577513235881984

In conservative Duval County, FL, the GOP was +3,000 in VBM ballots over two weeks of voting.  In 4 hours of Early Vote, Dems are up 500.

If Duval is close the race is over in Florida and thus the nation.

True, but Duval seems particularly ripe for being misleading. Dems have the reg advantage there by 4 points, yet lost in 2012 by 13 points. They'd need to have a considerable voting edge/swing of indies to actually make it competitive, I think.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #732 on: October 24, 2016, 11:43:38 AM »

Some info on GA:




"@ElectProject
I suspect that weekend county reports incomplete. That said, out of the 39K weekend votes, 39% from African-Americans."

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/790593946611318784
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Holmes
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« Reply #733 on: October 24, 2016, 11:44:04 AM »

A lot of the Republican areas in WI can start voting today finally. Will get in after work to get my Clinton/Feingold/Ryan vote in.

Interesting but understandable split.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #734 on: October 24, 2016, 11:46:05 AM »

A lot of the Republican areas in WI can start voting today finally. Will get in after work to get my Clinton/Feingold/Ryan vote in.

Interesting but understandable split.

Would love if there was a good Republican for Senate and President. After the last 6 years I regret my Johnson vote in 2010.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #735 on: October 24, 2016, 11:50:35 AM »

A lot of the Republican areas in WI can start voting today finally. Will get in after work to get my Clinton/Feingold/Ryan vote in.

It would be good if WI tracks by party affiliation. At least it's safe to say Republicans will close the gap that Milwaukee and Dane built.

I'm in Milwaukee County, the only reliable Dem areas are the city and Shorewood. So can't vote until today in most of the burbs. But Trump will get less percent of Republicans here or people are hiding their support. Lots of Johnson and Ryan signs here but not many Trump, they're all out in the country.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #736 on: October 24, 2016, 11:52:01 AM »

A lot of the Republican areas in WI can start voting today finally. Will get in after work to get my Clinton/Feingold/Ryan vote in.

Interesting but understandable split.

Would love if there was a good Republican for Senate and President. After the last 6 years I regret my Johnson vote in 2010.

Johnson has been horrible. No doubt.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #737 on: October 24, 2016, 11:57:53 AM »

Daily Kos Elections
‏@DKElections
NC early vote, per @PPPPolls:

2012: 57-42 Obama (Oct. 25: 30% had voted early)

2016: 63-37 Clinton (Oct 22: 19% have voted early)
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #738 on: October 24, 2016, 12:00:04 PM »

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/790586145776148480

"Bottom line in NV after two days: Dems have an 18-pt lead in early voting. They only have a 6-pt lead in voter reg."
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #739 on: October 24, 2016, 12:00:47 PM »

Daily Kos Elections
‏@DKElections
NC early vote, per @PPPPolls:

2012: 57-42 Obama (Oct. 25: 30% had voted early)

2016: 63-37 Clinton (Oct 22: 19% have voted early)

Nice. Seems to corroborate all the polls showing a consistent HRC lead.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #740 on: October 24, 2016, 01:18:25 PM »

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti  2m2 minutes ago
Even more Team HRC cheering of early vote #s: they note there's been a *99%* increase in Latino voting in FL compared to this point in '12
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #741 on: October 24, 2016, 01:19:08 PM »

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti  2m2 minutes ago
Even more Team HRC cheering of early vote #s: they note there's been a *99%* increase in Latino voting in FL compared to this point in '12

O_o!
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #742 on: October 24, 2016, 01:20:24 PM »

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti  32s33 seconds ago
And in Arizona, notes the Clinton camp, Democrats lead Republicans by ~1,000 ballots cast, compared to ~20,000 DEFICIT at this point in '12.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #743 on: October 24, 2016, 01:21:05 PM »

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti  2m2 minutes ago
Even more Team HRC cheering of early vote #s: they note there's been a *99%* increase in Latino voting in FL compared to this point in '12

Are we sure this isn't a typo? I mean how could it be possible?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #744 on: October 24, 2016, 01:22:08 PM »

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti  2m2 minutes ago
Even more Team HRC cheering of early vote #s: they note there's been a *99%* increase in Latino voting in FL compared to this point in '12

Are we sure this isn't a typo? I mean how could it be possible?

It doesn't surprise me to this end. Trump is just that toxic.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #745 on: October 24, 2016, 01:24:06 PM »

https://projectnewamerica.com/sites/projectnewamerica.com/files/Arizona%20State%20of%20Play%20-%20EV%20Edition.pdf?nid=999

There are 709K registered Hispanics in Arizona, up 37%/192K from 517K in 2012
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #746 on: October 24, 2016, 01:26:50 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2016, 01:31:36 PM by HillOfANight »

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti  2m2 minutes ago
Even more Team HRC cheering of early vote #s: they note there's been a *99%* increase in Latino voting in FL compared to this point in '12

Are we sure this isn't a typo? I mean how could it be possible?

https://twitter.com/gdebenedetti/status/784107933411991555
They have been broadcasting this for weeks. Ground game.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #747 on: October 24, 2016, 01:37:10 PM »

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti  2m2 minutes ago
Even more Team HRC cheering of early vote #s: they note there's been a *99%* increase in Latino voting in FL compared to this point in '12

Are we sure this isn't a typo? I mean how could it be possible?

https://twitter.com/gdebenedetti/status/784107933411991555
They have been broadcasting this for weeks. Ground game.

I know that but for that number to be true it must mean that virtually zero Hispanics voted early in 2012.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #748 on: October 24, 2016, 01:37:30 PM »

Mark Murray ‏@mmurraypolitics  3m3 minutes ago
Per NBC's data, more than 6.5M Americans have already voted in '16 election. Here's partisan breakdown by battleground state

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Gass3268
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« Reply #749 on: October 24, 2016, 01:42:59 PM »

Mark Murray ‏@mmurraypolitics  3m3 minutes ago
Per NBC's data, more than 6.5M Americans have already voted in '16 election. Here's partisan breakdown by battleground state



Before anyone freaks out PA, they have a pretty strict excuse absentee policy. Compared to Virginia where potential disruptions in public transportation is a legitimate excuse.
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