The absentee/early vote thread

[JerryArkansas]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Polling places where African Americans are have been cut down by Republicans.

[Doimper]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Polling places where African Americans are have been cut down by Republicans.

Oh, I should've guessed. What a disgrace.

[Panda Express]

For Colorado, we can't really compare to 2012. We can however, compare it to 2014 (not the best but better than nothing.)

16 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  48,030 (24,468)
Republicans  36,790 (36,830)
Independent 27,435 (17,191)

TOTAL 113,932 (79,355)

Democrats have increased by about 100%, Independents by 60% and Republicans by 0%

Total turnout up 44%

[Ebsy]

Final number for day 3 of early voting in Clark County is 34,599 (was 30,000 in 2012).

[Tender Branson]

For Colorado, we can't really compare to 2012. We can however, compare it to 2014 (not the best but better than nothing.)

16 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  48,030 (24,468)
Republicans  36,790 (36,830)
Independent 27,435 (17,191)

TOTAL 113,932 (79,355)

Democrats have increased by about 100%, Independents by 60% and Republicans by 0%

Total turnout up 44%

That's only 4% of the expected vote in CO though.

Let's wait until Nov. 7 when 90% of the ballots are in (there are also some election day voters).

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

For Colorado, we can't really compare to 2012. We can however, compare it to 2014 (not the best but better than nothing.)

16 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  48,030 (24,468)
Republicans  36,790 (36,830)
Independent 27,435 (17,191)

TOTAL 113,932 (79,355)

Democrats have increased by about 100%, Independents by 60% and Republicans by 0%

Total turnout up 44%

That's only 4% of the expected vote in CO though.

Let's wait until Nov. 7 when 90% of the ballots are in (there are also some election day voters).

I mean why not wait until after the votes have been counted, just to be sure.

[ApatheticAustrian]

it's a big data point regarding motivation imho.

[The Other Castro]

Tender you don't need to be a perpetual raincloud on this.

[Panda Express]

For Colorado, we can't really compare to 2012. We can however, compare it to 2014 (not the best but better than nothing.)

16 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  48,030 (24,468)
Republicans  36,790 (36,830)
Independent 27,435 (17,191)

TOTAL 113,932 (79,355)

Democrats have increased by about 100%, Independents by 60% and Republicans by 0%

Total turnout up 44%

That's only 4% of the expected vote in CO though.

Let's wait until Nov. 7 when 90% of the ballots are in (there are also some election day voters).

[JerryArkansas]

Tender you don't need to be a perpetual raincloud on this.

He has to be like this with Hillary.  Since she is a w(b)itch in his eyes.

[The Other Castro]

NC early voting (mail + in-person) stats as of 10/25:



Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  4m4 minutes ago
NC Dem returns off 2012 levels by 7.6% (Due in part to Rep election officials shuttering polling places in Dem counties), Reps down 7.9%

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  30s30 seconds ago
Polling places expand later this week. Will turning spigot on full produce flood or will dribble remain? Given numbers elsewhere, bet former

[fldemfunds]

Anecdotally, I know a few female ted Cruz supporters in Texas crossing over at the top of the ticket.

[The Other Castro]

Lol FOX is just blatantly misleading people in this article on early voting...

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/10/25/early-voting-suggests-tight-race-in-key-states-despite-clinton-camp-boast.html

[The Other Castro]

Obama's top Florida guy Steve Schale:

-Not all counties have reported yet (17 yet to report, most are small), but when all said and done, over 300,000 will have voted on day one.  Just to put into scale, 1.2 million voted by mail in the first two weeks.

-Democrats reduced the Republican advantage of 1.7% going into yesterday to around 0.5% after day one (still counties reporting, so this number will move around).

-Democrats won every county on I-4 in Florida on day one of early voting.

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http://steveschale.squarespace.com/blog/2016/10/25/early-voting-in-florida-day-one.html

[ApatheticAustrian]

obviously millions and millions of cross-voter trump voters.

[MasterJedi]

Wisconsin absentee ballot stats, 10/24

Dane and Milwaukee Counties have returned 73,233 of the 249,172 absentee ballots in Wisconsin, for 29.4% of the statewide total. These two counties contributed to 26% of the 2012 statewide 249,172 absentee ballots in Wisconsin. These three counties contributed to 12.3% of the 2012 statewide total. These are the three big GOP counties.

Dem big counties up 3.3%, GOP essentially flattotal. These are the two big Dem counties.

Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington Counties have returned 30,953 ballots, 12.4% of the

I would imagine that for Milwaukee County that almost all of that is from the city as well. I know the city has been voting for a month now and most of the burbs just recently started in-county.

[The Other Castro]

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  4m4 minutes ago
Democrats added 5,000 votes to their lead in Clark County on Monday. It's now more than 23,500 raw votes. Statewide: 22K. On par with 2012.

[Virginiá]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

[img]

Polling places where African Americans are have been cut down by Republicans.

Oh, I should've guessed. What a disgrace.

Yes, they really did a number in some areas. Guilford County (where Greensboro is) only has 1 early voting site for the entire county. Mecklenburg was cut, Forsyth has just 1 site iirc, and a number of other counties were cut. Also, I think some areas with high African American population were hit with bad flooding not long ago, right?

Anyway, these insane cuts to early voting were only for the first 7 days of early voting. Lots more sites (probably still down from 2012 tho) will open for the last 10 days. This was due to the GOP trying to find a way around the 4th circuit ordering them restore 7 days of early voting.

If early voting is truly the cause, then we should see turnout for AA spike in the last 10 days. If other high-AA pop. counties that weren't cut to the bone have high African American turnout, then I imagine that early voting is definitely the issue.

If Cooper wins, I'd expect him to flood the state with early voting sites for 2018 & 2020 since the Governor's party controls the state/local election boards. GOP won't be able to pull this crap next time.

[Confused Democrat]

Early voting is looking pretty bad for Republicans in FL so far.

http://steveschale.squarespace.com/blog/2016/10/25/early-voting-in-florida-day-one.html

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[OneJ]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Also, there was a report on either NBC or something like that explaining that Hurricane Matthew is to blame. A black woman explained that voting was not her priority but finding a place to live is #1.

[PresidentTRUMP]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Also, there was a report on either NBC or something like that explaining that Hurricane Matthew is to blame. A black woman explained that voting was not her priority but finding a place to live is #1.

hmmmm or maybe, just maybe its that Obama isn't on the top of the ticket this year and Hillary Clinton is.....nah that couldn't be the reason, doesn't make sense.

[Confused Democrat]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Also, there was a report on either NBC or something like that explaining that Hurricane Matthew is to blame. A black woman explained that voting was not her priority but finding a place to live is #1.

hmmmm or maybe, just maybe its that Obama isn't on the top of the ticket this year and Hillary Clinton is.....nah that couldn't be the reason, doesn't make sense.

The reduced polling sites and hurricane Matthew make more sense than whatever you're implying here.

[ag]

obviously millions and millions of cross-voter trump voters.

I wouldn't be flippant about that.

[JerryArkansas]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Also, there was a report on either NBC or something like that explaining that Hurricane Matthew is to blame. A black woman explained that voting was not her priority but finding a place to live is #1.

hmmmm or maybe, just maybe its that Obama isn't on the top of the ticket this year and Hillary Clinton is.....nah that couldn't be the reason, doesn't make sense.

Oh honey stop trying to excuse racism, it isn't a good look on anyone.

[OneJ]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Also, there was a report on either NBC or something like that explaining that Hurricane Matthew is to blame. A black woman explained that voting was not her priority but finding a place to live is #1.

hmmmm or maybe, just maybe its that Obama isn't on the top of the ticket this year and Hillary Clinton is.....nah that couldn't be the reason, doesn't make sense.

I see jealousy. That black woman will vote (not for the pumpkin), but she is overcoming issues.

But anyways, black voters already came home to Hillary so your argument is irrelevant. From now on, get your life together.