The absentee/early vote thread (user search)
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  The absentee/early vote thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The absentee/early vote thread  (Read 171384 times)
Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,628
« on: September 18, 2016, 05:05:08 PM »
Quote from: dspNY on September 18, 2016, 04:48:40 PM
A similar pattern is seen in Maine as Dems are in the very early going outpacing their 2012 early turnout. We'll see if it holds up

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/777622513975042048
Did you even read that he said he's going to compare it with 2012 later tonight?
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2016, 07:36:16 PM »
In Maine Republican and Democratic ballot request are both ahead of 2012, but more so Republicans. Unenrolled down though. https://mobile.twitter.com/ElectProject/status/777661571673694208
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2016, 01:02:14 PM »
FL has released their absentee requests by county and party.
https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2016, 01:58:12 PM »
Yeah but we have big numbers in Pinellas and Orange and Hillsborough are both close
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2016, 09:54:45 AM »
Per Nate Cohn's model Trump has a two point lead with the NC Ballots.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/779332855084220416
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2016, 11:04:12 AM »
Updated Florida Numbers: Republicans Regain a Lead in Returned Ballots

Requested:

GOP: 940,566
Democrats: 919,720
Independent: 442,736
Other: 56,494

Returned:
GOP: 265,683
Democrats: 259,883
Independents: 96,880
Other: 17,457
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2016, 11:13:32 AM »
From what I've been seeing in pictures of TN. Early voting turnout seems through the roof.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 03:37:36 PM »
You're back!
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2016, 05:18:36 PM »
So as of 5:00 the total in NC on the first day of Early Voting is 137,000 votes down from 167,000 on the first day in 2012. But we are still 12 minutes away from poll closings.

https://mobile.twitter.com/NCSBE/status/789225125732376576
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2016, 09:15:37 AM »
https://mobile.twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/789824761576599552

North Carolina Early Vote and Absentee Vote is 6% less black than 2012.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2016, 05:06:47 PM »
Quote from: dspNY on October 26, 2016, 05:00:43 PM
In Florida, Democrats have requested 3557 more absentee ballots + votes in VBM but the GOP has about a 35.5K lead in just ballots cast. Are some Dems requesting VBM ballots and deciding to vote in person?
They could just not be returning their ballots.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2016, 05:17:50 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 26, 2016, 05:09:20 PM
Quote from: Classic Conservative on October 26, 2016, 05:06:47 PM
Quote from: dspNY on October 26, 2016, 05:00:43 PM
In Florida, Democrats have requested 3557 more absentee ballots + votes in VBM but the GOP has about a 35.5K lead in just ballots cast. Are some Dems requesting VBM ballots and deciding to vote in person?
They could just not be returning their ballots.

Or because they're no immediately filling out the ballots...
I mean like the election is 12 days away (because mail for today has already ended on the East Coast) so they better get those ballots in.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2016, 07:49:22 AM »
Quote from: psychprofessor on October 27, 2016, 07:45:32 AM
Tom Bonier ‏@tbonier
OH Dem surge continues - Cuyahoga/Franklin now account for 21.4% of EV. Were 15.2% last Thursday, and 20% yesterday.

Belal Said ‏@BelalMSaid
@tbonier how does that compare to 2012?
Tom Bonier
Tom Bonier –  ‏@tbonier

@BelalMSaid 26.9%. So the upward trend will need to continue. But the early underperformance may just have been overwhelmed clerks.
5:18 AM - 27 Oct 2016

https://mobile.twitter.com/ElectProject/status/791616786735038465

Michael McDonald
Michael McDonald‏ @ElectProject
This is the good news. The bad news for Dems is that Cuyahoga is -37% from 2012 voted level, Franklin is -28%
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2016, 07:49:44 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on October 28, 2016, 05:51:42 PM
I caved and went to early vote with some coworkers today and in my Volusia county early voting precinct I was number 15,380, lots of people around the Hillary stand not many for the Trump stand. There was also a Johnson Stand too.
Who do your coworkers like?
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2016, 11:04:17 AM »
Rubio Early Votes!
https://mobile.twitter.com/olivia_pc/status/793116461468356608
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,628
« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2016, 12:49:41 PM »
Quote from: swf541 on October 31, 2016, 12:44:23 PM
Quote from: Spark498 on October 31, 2016, 12:41:54 PM
I voted yesterday for Trump, McGinty, PA Att General, & PA Treasurer.

Is there a lot of McGinty/ Trump voters?
Well Smilo and Sparks are both so, there's a probably a large number.
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