The absentee/early vote thread

[OneJ]

Frank Luntz ‏@FrankLuntz  31m31 minutes ago
Early vote returns in FLORIDA so far

• Democrats:  305,700 in 2016 (111,471 in 2008)
• Republicans: 314,301 in 2016 (176,855 in 2008)

I'm more curious about 2012

Looks like we are looking forward to record turnout (in FL at least).

[OneJ]

Early in-person voting is up 23% across the great state of Virginia.

http://www.vpap.org/visualizations/early-voting

[OneJ]

Speaking of Black turnout, what are the numbers looking like so far because I heard that it was still high anyway?

[OneJ]

Speaking of Black turnout, what are the numbers looking like so far because I heard that it was still high anyway?

about the same in GA and a little bit down in NC but that comparison is unfair cause of the decrease of early polling stations.

That sounds good despite obvious voter suppression.

[OneJ]

Busy day for TX

https://twitter.com/JMilesKHOU/status/790601122343858176

"Harris Co Clerk: 9000-10000 people voting, on average, per hour right now on 1st early voting day"

Amazing!

[OneJ]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Also, there was a report on either NBC or something like that explaining that Hurricane Matthew is to blame. A black woman explained that voting was not her priority but finding a place to live is #1.

[OneJ]

What's up with decreased black turnout in NC?

Also, there was a report on either NBC or something like that explaining that Hurricane Matthew is to blame. A black woman explained that voting was not her priority but finding a place to live is #1.

hmmmm or maybe, just maybe its that Obama isn't on the top of the ticket this year and Hillary Clinton is.....nah that couldn't be the reason, doesn't make sense.

I see jealousy. That black woman will vote (not for the pumpkin), but she is overcoming issues.

But anyways, black voters already came home to Hillary so your argument is irrelevant. From now on, get your life together.

[OneJ]

Utah Early Voting
"In early Utah turnout, a third more Democrats than expected have voted."

"About a third more Utah Democrats have voted so far than normally would be expected in early turnout for by-mail voting — while fewer-than-predicted Republicans are casting ballots."

"Through Monday afternoon, he noted that about 82,000 Utahns have cast ballots in the 21 of 29 counties now conducting the election by mail. More than 67,000 of those votes have come in Salt Lake County."

"And 42 percent of Salt Lake County voters are Republicans, but they have cast 36 percent of the vote."

Link for full article: http://www.sltrib.com/news/4502030-155/in-early-utah-turnout-twice-as

#BattlegroundUtah

[OneJ]

In Florida, Democrats have requested 3557 more absentee ballots + votes in VBM but the GOP has about a 35.5K lead in just ballots cast. Are some Dems requesting VBM ballots and deciding to vote in person?

They could just not be returning their ballots.

Or because they're no immediately filling out the ballots...

I mean like the election is 12 days away (because mail for today has already ended on the East Coast) so they better get those ballots in.

Depends on the state, some will still count it if postmarked on Election Day.

In Florida, vote by mail requests terminate on November 2 and must be received no later than 7 PM on Election Day. Therefore, to ensure that the votes are counted, they should be sent by November 1 or 2 or hand-delivered to a voting station on Election Day itself

Thanks for the official word!

You're welcome.

Now for an interesting treat...here are some SOUTH Carolina early voting demographics

White: 108,256 (66.8%)
African-American: 52,936 (32.7%)
Hispanic: 638 (0.4%)
Unknown: 113 (0.1%)

WOW! Looks better than I expected.

[OneJ]

It seems the early vote in NC, FL and NV is slowly trending the way of Trump/Republicans.

And in CO (where Dems are currently way ahead, but virtually nothing is in yet) the email scandal comes at the worst possible time for Hillary because most voters will fill out their ballot this weekend and over the next week with peak mail returns in about 1 week ... and the email stuff will dominate the whole next week.

The emails won't damage Hillary as much as you think it will in all honesty.

[OneJ]

Kyle Griffin on Twitter: Out of 12 battlegrounds, DEM early/absentee voters outpacing GOP in 8: CO, IA, MI, NC, NV, OH, VA, WI —NBC analysis of TargetSmart data.

Link: https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/792478146612387840

[OneJ]

25.5% of active voters of Florida have voted
Link: https://electionsmith.wordpress.com/2016/10/29/an-electionsmith-exclusive-floridas-latest-party-raceethnicity-age-turnout-figures-as-of-this-morning/

Party Turnout
-29.4% of 4.5m active registered Republicans have voted.

-27.0% of 4.8m active registered Democrats have voted.

-17.6% of 3.0m active registered No Party Affiliates have voted.

Racial/Ethnic Turnout

-28.1% of 8.2m active registered Whites have voted.

-20.6% of 1.7m active registered Blacks have voted.

-21.4% of 2.0m active registered Hispanics have voted.

Age Turnout

-41% of the 4.5m voters 60 and older have voted.

-25.6% of the 3.3m voters 45-59 have voted.

-14.7% of the 2.3m voters 30-44 have voted.

-9.5% of the 2.0m voters 18-29 have voted.

[OneJ]

IS EVERYONE READY FOR SOULS TO THE POLLS?!?!

PRAISE THE LORD!!!

HALLELUJAH!!!!

I can feel the Holy Ghost right now to be honest!

[OneJ]

Trump is telling people not to vote by mail in Colorado:

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/10/30/politics/donald-trump-write-in-ballots/index.html

From that story:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Isn't the idea to sow confusion on the other side?

This is great!

[OneJ]

big souls to the polls outturn in .....OHIO.


http://www.wtol.com/story/33517645/souls-to-the-polls-a-rousing-success-9-days-from-election
http://fox8.com/2016/10/30/souls-to-the-polls-campaign-brings-big-turnout-for-early-voting/

Awesome

[OneJ]

Guys, remember that Hurricane Matthew hit parts of North Carolina hard, so don't worry about AA turnout too much. Have faith that it will pick back up.

[OneJ]

Guys, remember that Hurricane Matthew hit parts of North Carolina hard, so don't worry about AA turnout too much. Have faith that it will pick back up.

Its also down in FL, GA, VA.   This isn't (solely) hurricane related, or solely voter suppression.  It seems like black turnout is returning to 'normal' without Obama on the ballot.

I understand. I should have put one of the reasons. However, I think we should keep our heads up. We have an entire week.

[OneJ]

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  15s16 seconds ago
"Of the 20,269 people who voted today in Georgia, 48% are Black (11% are unknown, due to a slightly stale voter file) #soulstopolls"

Hallelujah!

Thank you JESUS!!!

[OneJ]

Good News:

Jennifer Epstein on Twitter: Volunteers for Clinton and Dems did 70,000 shifts this weekend, more than Dems did during the same weekend in '08 and '12, per @RobbyMook

https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/792918256533270528?s=09

[OneJ]

Cuyahoga sees big turnout yesterday as a result of Souls to the Polls.

Link: http://fox8.com/2016/10/30/souls-to-the-polls-campaign-brings-big-turnout-for-early-voting/

[OneJ]

NEBRASKA CD-2 Early Voting:

Dave Sund ‏@davesund  17m17 minutes ago
Douglas County #NE02
Returns/Early Votes 10/31:
D 25,943 47.7%
R 19,412 35.7%
I  8,742 16.1%
Total 54,419

Matt McDermott ‏@mattmfm  2m2 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
Matt McDermott Retweeted Dave Sund
Huge difference from 2012 - when Dems had less than 300 vote edge in this swing district. Great news for Clinton in NE-02.

Wow! Big league lead!

[OneJ]

Oct. 30, 2012—13,519,140 votes had been cast 1 week till Election Day

Nov. 1, 2016—26,236,246 votes have been cast 1 week till Election Day




"One Week Before Election Day, Early Voting Is Nearly Twice as High as 2012"

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/fbi-2016-election-confidence-deficit-n676171

Awesome! I love seeing a high turnout election.