It's plausible that Trump can win, however, I would still favor Clinton at about 2:1 chance. Before the conventions, I probably would have favored Clinton at 4:1.
I was much more certain/happy about last 4 week. During them Trump steady but surely has gained little by little, week after week.
Hillary's defeat, if it happens, will be "death by a thousand cuts", mostly from printed e-mail paper cuts.
I wouldn't call Trump the favorite, and he's not exactly surging, but he's making steady progress.
