Emerson Polls MO, ARk, CO, GA- Trump+13,+28,+4,+6
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  Emerson Polls MO, ARk, CO, GA- Trump+13,+28,+4,+6
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Author Topic: Emerson Polls MO, ARk, CO, GA- Trump+13,+28,+4,+6  (Read 5677 times)
Buffalo Bill
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« Reply #50 on: September 15, 2016, 07:21:34 PM »

The CO and MO numbers here are total garbage when compared to national polls. AR and GA seem believable. Whether you think Trump is leading in Colorado right now or not (I personally doubt it, but considering the recent shift it probably can't be ruled out), the weight of basically every poll conducted this cycle to date, along with the very unfavorable demographics of the state, suggest that CO is going to be more Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Note: Stein isn't on the ballot in GA, she's only available as a write-in.

Do you think Trump makes Manhattan competitive again?

Remember when Manhattan was the only county in New York that he lost in the primary lol

Manhattan was purple until the 90's.  Also for those of you questioning polls, I'm sure they're a little off, but if he's up by 13, are you actually questioning his lead?  Even 4 points is alot to dispute.  Point is he's doing better and not how legitimate a polls is.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #51 on: September 15, 2016, 09:28:04 PM »


Colorado!!!! Since a few months ago, I told you it gonna be red in 2016 Wink
Hillary's 'Firewall' is collapsed! Tongue


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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #52 on: September 15, 2016, 11:05:08 PM »

Wow, these are b.a.d numbers for Hillary ... Shocked

An indicator that these Presidential results are more or less fine is that the Senate results are not that bad for the Dems. For example Bennet is far ahead in CO, while Hillary trails, and Kander is also ahead in MO - while Hillary gets crushed there.
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Hollywood
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« Reply #53 on: September 15, 2016, 11:14:53 PM »

Wow, these are b.a.d numbers for Hillary ... Shocked

An indicator that these Presidential results are more or less fine is that the Senate results are not that bad for the Dems. For example Bennet is far ahead in CO, while Hillary trails, and Kander is also ahead in MO - while Hillary gets crushed there.

I think what's interesting about that point is that Trump is pulling away in states that have Senate races in which Republicans are winning by large margins, and is tied or close in swing state where Rs and Ds have slight lead or Dem leading by single digits.
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Kempros
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« Reply #54 on: September 15, 2016, 11:20:47 PM »

Ah well, we still have a lot of the president race to go. 3 debates that will change everything. Don't count on ANYTHING happening right now.

Not sure how credible the polls are, but there is a difference between facts and stuff that you want to hear.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #55 on: September 15, 2016, 11:32:34 PM »
« Edited: September 15, 2016, 11:35:46 PM by StatesPoll »

Plus, #UnskewthePoll for Red Avatars Wink

Emerson, Colorado 9/9-9/13, 600 LV.   Page 14
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_784e507857734ddb84b32e9d6ee1022c.pdf
Democrats 34.2% | Republican 29.4% | Independent 36.4%

1) Colorado: Party Affiliation (September,2016).  Rep = DEM
Active + inactive = Total 3.71 Million Registered Voters.
http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VoterRegNumbers/VoterRegNumbers.html
http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VoterRegNumbers/2016/September/VotersByPartyStatus.pdf

Rep: 976k(Active) + 164k(Inactive) = 1.14 Million (30.7%)
DEM: 973k(Active) + 186k(Inactive) = 1.16 Milion (31.2%)

Turnouts: TRUMP > Hillary

So This poll is skewed, DEM +3%, REP -1.3%.   4.3%!!!!
Consdering that, It should be adjusted as TRUMP +3%, Hillary -3%.
Then! TRUMP 42+3=45% | Hillary 38-3=35%.  10% leads Wink



Colorado!!!! Since a few months ago, I told you it gonna be red in 2016 Wink
Hillary's 'Firewall' is collapsed! Tongue

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #56 on: September 16, 2016, 12:06:43 AM »

Not worried Bennett has no real credible challenge and there aren't many ticket splitters in Denver
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