Clinton +6 in DC-Google consumer survey poll
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  Clinton +6 in DC-Google consumer survey poll
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Author Topic: Clinton +6 in DC-Google consumer survey poll  (Read 1649 times)
Pragmatic Conservative
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« on: September 19, 2016, 11:34:24 PM »

Hillary Clinton 38%
Donald Trump 32%
Other/undecided 30%

Link http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/15/hillarys-poll-numbers-just-tanked-in-one-of-americas-most-liberal-cities/?utm_campaign=atdailycaller&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social

Congrats TNVOL DC is now closer then NH according to one poll.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2016, 11:36:06 PM »

What a pile of trash. Holy F**k,
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Ebowed
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2016, 11:37:55 PM »

This was clearly released as an example of how to epic fail at life/polling.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2016, 11:38:18 PM »

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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2016, 11:39:21 PM »

Anyone still trust Google Garbage Consumer?
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Ljube
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2016, 11:39:48 PM »

Perhaps it's true. We know that Trump has a great relationship with the blacks and that the blacks love him.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2016, 11:40:35 PM »

I think this might just be a poll of the members of the US Senate.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2016, 11:45:25 PM »

Perhaps it's true. We know that Trump has a great relationship with the blacks and that the blacks love him.


I mean their cities are falling apart, what do they have to lose?

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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: September 19, 2016, 11:54:42 PM »

Interesting 538 gave them a B.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2016, 11:55:27 PM »

Nate Silver is on the dole from the RNC so this isn't exactly surprising.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2016, 12:07:45 AM »


No... dude, no.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #11 on: September 20, 2016, 12:12:36 AM »


Looks like he's losing brain cells as he loses his hair.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #12 on: September 20, 2016, 12:42:54 AM »
« Edited: September 20, 2016, 01:22:24 AM by StatesPoll »


why don't u show the volume of this poll? it just 73 LV poll. so it could happen.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/district-of-columbia/#plus

400LV+ Google Consumer State Polls = no Problem.

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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #13 on: September 20, 2016, 12:45:26 AM »


My goodness.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #14 on: September 20, 2016, 12:47:23 AM »

538 polls-only gives Hillary a 99.6% chance of winning DC, but the projected margin is quite lackluster:

Clinton 67.6%
Trump 23.5%
Johnson 5.9%

For polls plus she has a 99.9% chance of winning, but the margin is still lackluster:

Clinton 71.2%
Trump 20.8%
Johnson 5.0%

For now cast she has a 99.0% chance. The margin looks like something out of Trump's dreams though:

Clinton 62.4%
Trump 27.9%
Johnson 6.7%
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Figueira
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« Reply #15 on: September 20, 2016, 12:54:43 AM »

538 polls-only gives Hillary a 99.6% chance of winning DC, but the projected margin is quite lackluster:

Clinton 67.6%
Trump 23.5%
Johnson 5.9%

For polls plus she has a 99.9% chance of winning, but the margin is still lackluster:

Clinton 71.2%
Trump 20.8%
Johnson 5.0%

For now cast she has a 99.0% chance. The margin looks like something out of Trump's dreams though:

Clinton 62.4%
Trump 27.9%
Johnson 6.7%


100% of the polls are from Google Consumer Surveys, though, with this one having the highest sample size at 73 LV. So who knows what's really going on there?
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they don't love you like i love you
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« Reply #16 on: September 20, 2016, 12:56:21 AM »

Is this the worst poll of all time?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #17 on: September 20, 2016, 02:03:45 AM »

Yes. Hands down. But the sample size is so terrible that the MOE would be around 12%... Oh wait... yeah... Trump's not losing DC by 21 points either, more like 78 (and that's being generous).
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #18 on: September 20, 2016, 05:27:29 AM »

I think I can explain what's going on here...

When Google tries to determine which state you're in, it uses your IP address, and doesn't ask you to confirm. This basically means that, if you're using a VPN or proxy(for work, say), and it's based out of DC, Google will pick you up as being there, whether you're in DC, Mississippi or Rhode Island.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #19 on: September 20, 2016, 05:49:04 AM »

I think I can explain what's going on here...

When Google tries to determine which state you're in, it uses your IP address, and doesn't ask you to confirm. This basically means that, if you're using a VPN or proxy(for work, say), and it's based out of DC, Google will pick you up as being there, whether you're in DC, Mississippi or Rhode Island.
I believe that's correct, and with a sample size that small, it matters. They're likely picking up government workers, lobbyists and tourists visiting DC/staying at DC hotels.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #20 on: September 20, 2016, 05:51:38 AM »

Sure, and Trump leads 75-20% in Maryland.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #21 on: September 20, 2016, 06:07:32 AM »

538 polls-only gives Hillary a 99.6% chance of winning DC, but the projected margin is quite lackluster:

Clinton 67.6%
Trump 23.5%
Johnson 5.9%

For polls plus she has a 99.9% chance of winning, but the margin is still lackluster:

Clinton 71.2%
Trump 20.8%
Johnson 5.0%

For now cast she has a 99.0% chance. The margin looks like something out of Trump's dreams though:

Clinton 62.4%
Trump 27.9%
Johnson 6.7%


Sorry are you giving serious consideration that Trump will get more than 10% in DC?
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #22 on: September 20, 2016, 06:37:20 AM »
« Edited: September 20, 2016, 06:40:00 AM by Clay »

Wow.

They should be ashamed for even releasing this poll.

Countdown to Trump's campaign citing this poll as evidence he is changing the map........

"Says who?"
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