Maine - Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17: Hillary + 0.3 (4-way)
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  Maine - Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17: Hillary + 0.3 (4-way)
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Author Topic: Maine - Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17: Hillary + 0.3 (4-way)  (Read 2398 times)
StatesPoll
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« on: September 20, 2016, 10:03:52 AM »
« edited: September 20, 2016, 10:06:02 AM by StatesPoll »

http://mprc.me/research/0916_presidential.pdf

 Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17, 835 LV

Statewide
Hillary 37.0
TRUMP 36.7
Johnson 11.0
Stein 4.6

CD1
Hillary 40.5
TRUMP 29.8
Johnson 12.1
Stein 5.2

CD2
TRUMP 44.3
Hillary 33.2
Johnson 9.9
Stein 4.1




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Seriously?
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2016, 10:07:00 AM »

This looks like a left-leaning group, too. Wow.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2016, 10:09:19 AM »

  If in fact Trump is going to do much better in some parts of the country than recent GOP candidates and worse in other parts, we should start seeing these kind of developments.
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bilaps
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« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2016, 10:11:01 AM »

They polled from August 17-20 last time according to 538 and Clinton was up 10.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2016, 10:11:02 AM »

lol
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2016, 10:12:24 AM »

I love how StatesPoll insists on using "Hillary" and allcapsing Trump. Definitely fits with Trump's inability to comprehend subtleties, though Wink
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2016, 10:20:50 AM »

Well, Maine is a toss-up. Who would have guessed that?
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2016, 10:23:33 AM »

Probably junk. I'll believe battleground Maine when I see it.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2016, 10:41:47 AM »

I can believe that Maine is a battleground just as I can believe that states like Michigan and Arizona  are battlegrounds. If the election is very close, I expect Hillary to win Maine fairly handily, but if Trump wins, Maine will likely be very close (ME-2 going Trump in a Trump victory I think)
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: September 20, 2016, 10:44:00 AM »

I can believe that Maine is a battleground just as I can believe that states like Michigan and Arizona  are battlegrounds. If the election is very close, I expect Hillary to win Maine fairly handily, but if Trump wins, Maine will likely be very close (ME-2 going Trump in a Trump victory I think)
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2016, 11:15:02 AM »

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: September 20, 2016, 11:33:04 AM »

Wow.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: September 20, 2016, 11:34:56 AM »


I suppose you deserve congratulations for predicting months ago that Maine would vote to the right of NH.
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Ljube
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« Reply #13 on: September 20, 2016, 11:42:03 AM »

But how can Maine help Trump?

Even if he won Romney + Florida + Ohio + Iowa + Maine At Large + ME02 + Nevada that would still be 268 electoral votes.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #14 on: September 20, 2016, 11:42:48 AM »

But how can Maine help Trump?

Even if he won Romney + Florida + Ohio + Iowa + Maine At Large + ME02 + Nevada that would still be 268 electoral votes.

Oh no, they are gaining self-awareness.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #15 on: September 20, 2016, 11:47:22 AM »

But how can Maine help Trump?

Even if he won Romney + Florida + Ohio + Iowa + Maine At Large + ME02 + Nevada that would still be 268 electoral votes.


Replace Nevada with Colorado and you get 271.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #16 on: September 20, 2016, 11:48:35 AM »

Why would Hillary not be investing here if it were this close? I'm skeptical.
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Ljube
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« Reply #17 on: September 20, 2016, 11:49:08 AM »

Why would Hillary not be investing here if it were this close? I'm skeptical.

Cause it doesn't matter. Too small.
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Ljube
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« Reply #18 on: September 20, 2016, 11:50:37 AM »

But how can Maine help Trump?

Even if he won Romney + Florida + Ohio + Iowa + Maine At Large + ME02 + Nevada that would still be 268 electoral votes.


Replace Nevada with Colorado and you get 271.

Colorado has 100% absentee voting, which means more Dems will vote, which means Trump can't win there.
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bilaps
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« Reply #19 on: September 20, 2016, 11:54:15 AM »

But how can Maine help Trump?

Even if he won Romney + Florida + Ohio + Iowa + Maine At Large + ME02 + Nevada that would still be 268 electoral votes.


NH
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xingkerui
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« Reply #20 on: September 20, 2016, 11:55:01 AM »

Why would Hillary not be investing here if it were this close? I'm skeptical.

Cause it doesn't matter. Too small.


Then why would she invest in NE-02?
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Ljube
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« Reply #21 on: September 20, 2016, 11:59:13 AM »

Why would Hillary not be investing here if it were this close? I'm skeptical.

Cause it doesn't matter. Too small.


Then why would she invest in NE-02?

Cause her campaign is quite inept.
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bilaps
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« Reply #22 on: September 20, 2016, 12:00:39 PM »


Well, if he wins in Maine nobody knows what the map will look like.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #23 on: September 20, 2016, 12:02:10 PM »

Why would Hillary not be investing here if it were this close? I'm skeptical.

Cause it doesn't matter. Too small.


Then why would she invest in NE-02?

Cause her campaign is quite inept.

No, it's because she is going after every electoral vote she can plausibly get, just like she went after delegates in the primary. If you have the resources, one would have to be pretty stupid not to do this. And ads for NE-02 bleed into parts of Iowa as well, so it's a double investment. Given the current dynamics of this race, it is smart, not inept.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #24 on: September 20, 2016, 12:15:13 PM »

I feel quite certain that Clinton will get at least 3 EC's from Maine.
Unless trump leads by about +1 to +2 (avg) nationally, will I start to show concern.
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